Adoka and Collettsville should be fineThe warm nose is definitely going to be an issue. How big of an issue is TBD.
Wow this puts Macon, even Columbia SC back in the game. Wayyy further south
I think one slight adjustment and the euro will be copy/paste of it's AI counterpart. It's interesting it's so far southEuro AI is really about to plant a flag isn't it
Interesting. I just checked the update and it’s still saying 5-8 inches for Huntsville. Will somebody a lot smarter tell us where in the models are they seeing 5-8 inches please?Nope.. it was 1-3 inches this morning. lol
Very true ... as a retired educator I understand completely. The schools will catch flak no matter what decision is made ... I joke that the main role of school is childcare lol. It is important to make a decision relatively early in order to give parents of young children time to make arrangements. With digital learning days now an accepted option, this should take some pressure off systems in deciding whether or not to cancel school. While my opinion means absolutely nothing, I really think at this juncture even Troup will cancel school ... no one wants a repeat of what happened a few years ago when students were trapped at school in several metro Atlanta areas when that storm rolled in a little quicker than anticipated. And based on what I have seen this morning, I could see a Winter Weather Advisory issued a little further south than the current watch area.Yall ain’t gonna like this.. but from what I’ve seen in this thread.. the counties bordering FFC’s watch need to have a winter wx advisory.. that is at least very plausible at this point.. them dragging feet is causing angry parents.. why?? I’m in education. Retired, but subbing.. our system (Troup) made an announcement that they would make an announced decision at 130 today.. doesn’t have an effect on me….!but these parents fuss if school is closed, fuss if it’s not closed, fussed they told them too late notice.. etc.. so why is FFC clearly dragging their feet?? If a WWA was issued, schools wouldn’t have to meet with Local emergency management at 1230 to make their own decision..
This post is 100% accurate! I've lived in GA for 33 years and this has ALWAYS been the case. It's very frustrating.Well, FFC is the honey badger of weather offices. They march to their own beat and that's that. I have seen snow get to the doorstep of Georgia and they only then would pull the trigger. Before I get eviscerated for this, there is a clear history of this. All of the multiple snow jams, etc.....
The euro just produced that for a large part of its forecast area . 06z eps matched it . The gfs is close to keeping the nw part all frozen .Interesting. I just checked the update and it’s still saying 5-8 inches for Huntsville. Will somebody a lot smarter tell us where in the models are they seeing 5-8 inches please?
Reason why warnings are not warranted:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/wso/index.php?id=RNK
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That trend should trend east and further south with regard to the heavy axis.EPS trend. Dialed in.
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They are gong to look at the 12z ensembles (means) and make a the first call...my guess


They waited until the last minute for Snowpacolypse (Jan 2014) and very late night before for Dec 2017.N. Ga. must be waiting until 1pm to pull the trigger on the WS Warning. We're still WS Watch while Chattanooga is a Warning.
If that verifies man the weather channel is gonna look stupid as hell
Gotta admit you have been adamant that this was an I-20 special and you may just end up being right.That trend should trend east and further south with regard to the heavy axis.
Hi-res models catching up each run….we shall see. I fully expect a few more shifts to the south before verification timing…to which I believe will be even further south down to I-20 in AL.Gotta admit you have been adamant that this was an I-20 special and you may just end up being right.
NAM and GFS BUFKIT data for RDU not looking great for snow.
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Wouldn't that mean best case scenario?
It’s honestly a miracle this is even possible with an awful low placement to our south and no high pressure feed. We are about to connect gulf moisture to lakes moisture and still manage to get a winter storm out of it. This storm is reminding me that our ceiling is still high in the future if we can get most of the boxes checked.View attachment 161869
This is the best radar we have seen in years, looks gorgeous for a board wide event. Having said that, if this what we end up with, I will be very disappointed for my area given this look.
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Really hoping the Carolina's can get in on this more; we've been skipped in a lot of these going back to Feb 21 and we want a turn. Lets bring some of those bigger totals east for a change. Need a colder press with less mixing but still keep the qpf.
I just saw this too. A "high end" amount of 3" in Winston-Salem and 1" in Raleigh seems very low. Their claim that 90% of models are predicting less than that just isn't true.Yeah RAH says worst case scenario for RDU is 1"...makes sense.