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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie

Makeitsnow said:
Gfs now showing all of north ga with more than an inch (most between 1.1 and 1.3) with 1 inch into the upstate. If this verified This is a major winter storm to be sure for ga/upstate. Sure looks like a major sleet storm in many areas.
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Snow to lots of ice I would expect.
 
beanskip said:
Important note on 12z GFS is that it keep pushing up QPF from west to east into N. Ga., the S.C. upstate and western N.C. foothills/Piedmont. That's 4 consecutive GFS runs that have done so -- the .5 line is now on CLT's doorstep.
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Important to know that the GFS has fallen in line with keeping the SFC low south aligned with the wedge line, so less to transfer to the coast/more consolidated low ... Less transfer, more moisture (less is lost due to transfer energy).
 
jackendrickwx said:
I kinda think that there will be some kind of 3-4” lollipop somewhere east of 77 along 85.
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There's going to be that narrow transition line going through our area (as normal). The latest RAP had ~2" of snow/sleet and over a quarter inch of freezing rain at RDU. That qualifies for winter storm criteria. That's going to be the unknown even right up to this event starting. Where are the transition line???
 
FallsLake said:
There's going to be that narrow transition line going through our area (as normal). The latest RAP had ~2" of snow/sleet and over a quarter inch of freezing rain at RDU. That qualifies for winter storm criteria. That's going to be the unknown even right up to this event starting. Where are the transition line???
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Probably right over downtown honestly. I think north hills could totally end up getting 2” while Garner gets 0.5” and ice
 
FallsLake said:
There's going to be that narrow transition line going through our area (as normal). The latest RAP had ~2" of snow/sleet and over a quarter inch of freezing rain at RDU. That qualifies for winter storm criteria. That's going to be the unknown even right up to this event starting. Where are the transition line???
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Yea I definitely thinks RDU pulls the trigger on Winter Storm Warning


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malak05 said:
Man... Avert your eyes now ALOT of this is Sleet totals I presume especially south of I-20 but man RAP made a big jump toward GFS/FV-3/RGEM
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Kind of looks like the Euro AI....hmmm. If that model ends up nailing this event, we may have a new king in town.
 
Stormsfury said:
Important to know that the GFS has fallen in line with keeping the SFC low south aligned with the wedge line, so less to transfer to the coast/more consolidated low ... Less transfer, more moisture (less is lost due to transfer energy).
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With 30hrs to play with here in NC, Is there a Cap to that? Or is there any possibility we could sneak that .5 - .75” QPF line further to Western Piedmont atleast 77 Corridor


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ITUSETOSNOW said:
The same thing will happen in ATL< plus it has been colder here.
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I don't know if I will concur 100% yet that same thing will happen in ATL because the WAA elements later on are a little different especially as storm continues on but we definitely are in a war of models and ground truths now and I do think the initial wave will be much more punchy on the snow/sleet front into parts of ATL compared to some guidance has showed... I think the RGEM/RAP/FV-3 are picking up on that I do still see a hard transition in afternoon
 
RAP is a big hit:

Could be convective feedback problems with T'storms and heavy rains to the south that could be what a lot of models could be seeing so this would cut number down farther North . If RAP has no convective feedback issues I could see why NW NC , Northern NC into much of VA numbers have increase on the RAP. This maybe what the RAP is seeing . But it is the RAP
 
The situation in Dallas does send positive vibes - and I want a big snow. The trends here have been disappointing and maybe, just maybe, we still can get that big snow. However, I do not think Dallas equates to us in terms of the GOM and I fear that as this low develops and taps the gulf, that warm nose will rear its ugly head more. I am hoping that the storm does not cut quite as much as it is showing and that will help keep the WAA at bay some. Really do not want to be out of power for a few days with an ice storm!

But isn't it fun to have something to be excited about?!? Hoping we all can avoid pain from a missed opportunity. I still have not gotten over Groundhogzilla from a few years ago!! Good luck to all of us!! May we all get some type of win!!
 
WolfpackHomer91 said:
With 30hrs to play with here in NC, Is there a Cap to that? Or is there any possibility we could sneak that .5 - .75” QPF line further to Western Piedmont atleast 77 Corridor


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Sure in fact it's probably likely....also the more consolidated and south the low is the more deep farther south cold you have typically.
 
Anyone with ease of access know how the 500 vort energy is verifying currently? If DFW is colder I have to wonder if we did go less amped and how we may translate this east.
 
Including the cities of Powells Crossroads, Murphy, Cartwright, Signal Mountain, Hayesville, Andrews, Archville, Hiawasse Dam, Martin Springs, Topton, Whitwell, Unaka, Monteagle, Reliance, Benton, Chattanooga, Conasauga, Violet, Brasstown, Cagle,
Tusquitee, Turtletown, Parksville, Cleveland, South Pittsburg, Big Frog Mountain, Marble, Haletown (Guild), Dunlap, Ducktown, Shooting Creek, Jasper, Lone Oak, Lookout Mountain, and Tasso

1146 AM EST Thu Jan 9 2025 /1046 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2025/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ FRIDAY TO
7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 5 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina and east Tennessee.

* WHEN...From 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Friday to 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/
Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes, and the Saturday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

&&


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