Forevertothee
Member
I would endure another 3 year drought if that came to pass.
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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
That snow band moving over Atlanta
Wherever the front end thump happens it’s gonna come down hard and pile up quick
Euro says it’s 
time 2pm Friday
time 2pm Friday
would you mind posting a comparison of this from the 06z? thanks
njbarrineau
Member
FV3 has handled frontogenesis well in the past, right? I think it and the HRRR were the models that handled the surprise snow of 2020 where October got up to five inches
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Ron Burgundy
Member
If north ga ends up with the goods this will have been such a well modeled storm. Are AI super computers the next huge step in forecasting?Goes right over northern 1/3 of GA just before that
NoSnowATL
Member
A good Map on elevation for the GA freaks
Mahomeless
Member
Keys for the I-20 crowd…
We need either
1) a closed off 850mb over top
Or
2) that 500mb bowling ball of energy the Euro is showing to verify
We need either
1) a closed off 850mb over top
Or
2) that 500mb bowling ball of energy the Euro is showing to verify
Yep! I-85 was built on the natural barrier near the costal plain. SE GA is flat!
Mahomeless
Member
500mb energy is waayyyyyyy north compared to the Euro. I’ll lean towards the Euro considering it’s in its wheelhouse and the hi-res models are still stretching to the end of their capability to capture these subtleties.
Ron Burgundy
Member
That reminds me a lot of the 2011 deform band that went ovwr the city south to north. Still the hardest I’ve ever seen it snow anywhere, anytime
NoSnowATL
Member
You want to be north of that beautiful yellow line 9/10 times in these events.
sackjalding
Member
I-85 was not built on the fall line...
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
basically north of I-85
Storm5
Member
Man this front end thump for the i20 crowd is gonna be something
I hope it verifies for us I 20 folks
Mahomeless
Member
Eager to hear your complete thoughts on the system
Stormlover
Member
Makeitsnow
Member
Mostly because of surface temp issues but In this case it's not a problem. Snow amounts this time will all boil down to the EWL between 700 and 850mb.
Ron Burgundy
Member
Well I guess we know where FFC got their snow map from
haha! I believe that's based on their map. Like I think it's the same amounts, just different layoutWell I guess we know where FFC got their snow map from
That graphic makes me legitimately concerned about downsloping reducing snow totals in my area in Huntsville. The wind from east would support that theory. Am I crazy? that graphic even shows the higher amounts on the ridge tops here and then nearly a 2" drop off immediately west. Its only about 700' higher though.
Snow_chaser
Member
Seems like we been watching this for months lol and now here we are on the western side getting close to being within 40 hrs of start time. As Tommy Boy would say. It’s Go Time lol
rburrel2
Member
12z 3km NAM has my 850 temp at -5C with heavy sleet falling Friday afternoon. I'll be completely shocked if that happens, especially considering this isn't some rapidly deepening miller B bomb.
iGRXY
Member
maybe it’s the weenie but if you get under heavy rates, as thin as the warm nose is, it will be snow. And I feel confident we will see an uptick in QPF at least in the upstate. Overrunning just naturally supports that idea
whizrtr
Member
It sure does. Watching those 40 dBZ returns approach was epic. The band of snow changed over to sleet here sooner than I had hoped or was forecast to do so.
It ticked off to no end but man did that concrete lid on the snow have staying power. This time, I'm expecting a quick change over to sleet and ZR so maybe I'll be wrong again and it remains mostly snow, lol.
Cleaner image of the current status
Stormlover
Member
Nashville forecasts 6 to 8 for my backyard 
packfan98
Moderator
Quick reminder that this thread should be kept free of banter posts that clutter up things. Take your wishing and one liners to another thread please. Thank you!
It’s not an event with crazy numbers but it’s cold and has been cold. The roads are going to be wrecked up and down the I-85 corridor come Friday night.
RollTide18
Member
NWS Mobile removed Freezing Rain from my forecast and now going with Rain/Snow for Thursday Night going into Friday morning.
Tsappfrog20
Member
Pretty good for the Wake Forest/ Raleigh area Friday night from the NWS.
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Iceagewhereartthou
Member
You can see that upper stream energy above the great lakes; this is the same the Euro showed dropping down quickly to increase the N/S push and cold confluence where the GFS was largely missing this feature. It helps with the cold press but also keeps the storm system more positively tilted.
Great look at the track path. Goes from Lake Charles to maybe Dothan; ENE. Ideally we would want this to track East just off the coast to help keep that WAA at bay more. This could be quite a thump for NGA, and Western Carolinas if we could keep it all snow.
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So you had no snow in the forecast and now they added it? Hhhmm, interesting. That's really far south for a snow sounding.
Also from the looks of things, for CLT metro anyway, it looks like things really pick up right as the evening rush is getting going. With these cold ground temps, any roads that aren’t pretreated will get icy very quickly