Seems like pretty high percentages even down to i-20
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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie
- Thread starter SD
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Seems like pretty high percentages even down to i-20
Gfs at 72 
Lower heights on the GFS. Should be colder
Hot damn
strap in folks
WXinCanton
Member
Single digit TD's out infront of the precip in N GA on the GFS
Mahomeless
Member
GFS going to be another paste job along and north of I-20!
Bigedd09
Member
GFS took a major step to other modeling.
Wouldn't that depiction be colder at the surface?
Historic winter storm in GFS. Hot damn bojangles
This image is just chefs kiss, oh my goodness gracious
iGRXY
Member
GFS is falling in lineJohn1122
Member
I'll say this for the RGEM. It crushed the NAM imby for this last system. The NAM had me with 0 freezing rain. The RGEM .18. I got .2 zr. The RGEM had me going snow/sleet/zr, it nailed that. The NAM had me starting with rain, it missed. That wasn't even a miss at distance for the NAM, it missed 24 hours out. The RGEM has zr deeper into Tennessee than other models and that verified too.
It's handled anything NS related better than the NAM/Globals for my area this season so far as well.
It's handled anything NS related better than the NAM/Globals for my area this season so far as well.
Tokenfreak
Member
Come on Charleston, SC you can do it and get snow lol. Almost there!!!
Gfs trending toward everything else
RTRwx
Member
Interesting that the GFS isn't really *Significantly changing the track or strength of the coastal low but the snow line moved significantly further south in AL this run. Maybe it's picking up on more dynamic cooling? 850 DP's are bone dry as moisture approaches.
beanskip
Member
12z GFS surface low a whisker south and slow of past few runs at 78 hours.
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
It’s folding like a cheap tent, encouraging trend for sure
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WXinCanton
Member
Cary_Snow95
Member
Peep the heights over NC
Storm5
Member
Gonna be close . Front end snow/sleet then to freezing rain / then back to.snow on backside . Trends are encouraging for sure . Still need help in the temperature department
Bigedd09
Member
A couple more trends like this by the GFS and it will be an all snow event for many in the Carolina's
I used to pray for times like this 
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I've been watching that metric, too. -22 degrees at 850 mb right before the precip moves in. Evaporation is going to dramatically cool that column, but as time goes on, it will warm. I need the low to book it to the east so the change over to rain is short and maybe I can catch some snow as the column cools again.
iGRXY
Member
GFS is slowly but surely putting more snow down and less ice by the run. Great sign
Gfs still pushes the rain line inland at 93 but good to see that front thump
small detail but love the trough orientation becoming more negative over the plains, talked about this last night
We may be using the number 93 in a different manner here soon if temps get any cooler
It still is too far inland for mby but yessir it ticked southeast. Gimme a few more
Cary_Snow95
Member
GFS still drives the low inland but this was a big step towards other guidance
beanskip
Member
Low definitely south of prior two runs at 90 hours.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
@ForsythSnow look at our bullseye lol
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
South and stronger. Love that trend
Looks like RDU stays below freezing for the whole event now. For me that was the benchmark to get to with the GFS today.
WXinCanton
Member
Total QPF for reference
Yep gotta look at the trend, started out better, ended up about the same but again it was a slight improvement. We will feel tons better as long as the Euro doesn't look like this