Man that looks juiced! Normally I would take that look every time. However, I think the NAM tends to over juice and over amp, in its long range. I'd like to see that ice line another 50 miles south, but it's hard not to like that for many of us.
Single digit dews down to the NC/VA border with moisture en route usually gets it done
Look at those single digit dewpoints in Virginia
Frozen precip down into southern Georgia approaching from the west. Even we can’t mess this up.
Should at least be sn to ip to zr in many of those locations, does it obliterate the CAD like the GFS did... who knows, we're trying to extrapolate the NAM which is dangerous lol. But that high is in a decent spot and the antecedent airmass is cold and very dry, which bodes well for areas east.
Don’t worry. They’ll only get warmer from here on the NAM. But you don’t need them this low to get it done so that’s a plus. There’s at least some wiggle roomNit- picking...I don't like ATL dew point at 20...I need teens please
Seen the NAM dew point and wet bulbs often a verify higher at go time at this range but this certainly gives us all room to play with. I’m sitting at 10 degree dew point here. Trends are good
Meant dew point not wet bulb, edited
NAM is in the good camp
(GFS like) 
That 20 degree DP should be sufficient enough since the 2m temp is 31 during that timeframe so we’ll likely wetbulb into the mid-upper 20s regardless as that northern fringe of precipitation moves in.Nit- picking...I don't like ATL dew point at 20...I need teens please
that's a lot of in tsleetfreezing rain and some sleet that west Alabama area
That would do the trick if the storm follows the Euro model.
I know I was joking around...just saw dew points lower around ATL. Probably heat island effect.
One of the worries I've had for this system is the lack of a fresh source of cold air from the NE. That surface set up with a gulf low in that position and a decent meso high sliding into the Mid-Atlantic would keep the surface cold enough on a stiff NE and ENE CAD wind for Atlanta and the north and east burbs at a minimum. It should hold the snow change over to ZR longer after a nice initial thump.
If you look at the 500mb chart, the press from the northern stream out ahead of the low would be enough to keep the track flatter along the Gulf Coast
Been the theme of the day it seems.
Pretty noticeable trend with our S/W on the icon. It’s applying to the EC AI slowly as well
ICON Looks very NAM like at 72Is this what you mean grit? re: less lines (contours) from WY to NM but better for WY to AZ?
Looks warmer to me at 90?
the Atlantic side has been rock steady
