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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie

Big increases in snow for the MS/AL/GA crowd on the 18z Euro View attachment 160513
Wow, what an output for Arkansas and N Mississippi. The Euro is now a bit of an outlier but this is a pretty good snapshot of what has been happening west of the apps vs east of the apps the past few years.
 
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Maybe we truly did need to get that system out of the way yesterday and today. These trends are absolute magical for the I-20 crowd. Absolutely crazy to see these trends. We’ve got a cold cold week ahead and it won’t take long to get things accumulating. Let’s keep it rolling!
How do we know these trends wouldn't have take place if that storm was still ongoing?
 
Imo, that’s a mixed bag to rain for my fellow RDU folks just based of the position of the low off the coast. We would need a trend SE of that if we stand a chance. Still lots of time. This is just based of the latest Ai run.

As much as I love my ATL family, it’s been my experience that if Atl north see snow, it’s a struggle for RDU. That’s why it’s so hard for everyone to get in on one storm. Little changes in the track have major impacts for different parts of the SE. Trust me, I wish I could go through one of those storms where everyone got in on the action. 17 years on the weather boards and still waiting. Lol!
 
69

Nam!! come get me!!
 
I’m liking the trends here in Hazel Green near the tennessee state line
I think anyone north of the Tennessee River in Bama are sitting pretty. Anyone north of I20 will do ok but messy. South of I20 cross your fingers, toes, and anything else you can think of and pray the south trend continues. Just my 2 cents probable worth less
 
What do we need to see happen to keep this thing from changing back to rain?
Good response from Jimmy but thought I'd chime in. You're probably in a pretty good spot actually, just looking at the map. But we all need a stronger northern jet stream press (not too strong, don't want too much supression) while keeping the low tracking in the gulf, not over land. We want the low to track more east than NE and stay relatively weak. It would really help if there were a better H pressure to our north to provide a better cold feed; we need ongoing cold air advection feeding in throughout the storm to help cancel out the affects of warm air advection, but we usually see a lot of weakening and retreating highs in these setups. Mixing is hard to avoid but is possible if the cold feed can outlast the WAA. You may actually do a bit better being West of the Apps, those mountains are beautiful but tend to complcate weather.
 
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