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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

There was a little more interaction but it wasn't that significant.  The lead wave is weaker so this might be a warmer run overall but a weaker system might make that a wash

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Just to clarify, this system can trend towards the Euro but still be a decent hit....  kind of what's being said but I get it, it almost sounds contradictory when quick replies are being posted for pbp
 
There is a little less shortwave ridging between waves this one might dig a little more than 12z

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One thing I have noticed that early in the day everyone is saying big hit and by late in the day they are saying little or no hit
 
This may actually be better for my area. Let's see where she goes the next 18 hours
 
My jaw dropped this morning seeing the 12z GFS, especially after showing over 5" two runs in a row.
I'm trying not to get over excited unless it keeps showing these amounts Wed. or Thursday.
Bufkit cobb algorithm gives almost 9" of snow here in NW AL on the 12z as well as the standard 10:1 ratio  :) :

snow%20buf2_zpswfwkjpmj.png
 
SD link said:
There is a little less shortwave ridging between waves this one might dig a little more than 12z

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Click to expand...

First wave swing and miss but I'll gladly sacrifice that wave for a good hit with the 2nd wave...  btw I notice Rah NWS mentions it in their HWO
 
This is looking better further South for some to my West. 
 
metwannabe link said:
[quote author=SD link=topic=80.msg7541#msg7541 date=1483394699]
There is a little less shortwave ridging between waves this one might dig a little more than 12z

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Click to expand...

First wave swing and miss but I'll gladly sacrifice that wave for a good hit with the 2nd wave...  btw I notice Rah NWS mentions it in their HWO
[/quote]
Yeah the first wave clearly went to the rest of the models.  Sad

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Colder run this time.... as other's already mentioned the frozen precip making it further south.  Good sign
 
This run has ip/zr down to the SC coast almost and snow much further south for many!
 
Gonna cut inland on the SE coast I believe...what do you think Shane

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Overall weaker system cuts down on Waa and puts more in play for snow.

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18z GFS said ...I am not caving yet! Euro get your life! Honestly, I want a blend of both models and call it a day!
 
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