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FLO said:Shawn said:Posted elsewhere so will link here. Great precip through this area, just a bit warm:
Today's 12z On the Left. Last night's 00z on the Right.
Yea even the local people have said temps shouldn't be an issue. I hope they are right.
Find it hard to believe we get over an inch of liquid as all snow. The para gfs from 06z shows around half an inch as snow for a chunk of us.. but.. The cut off line of snow is getting very close though. Here:
Shawn said:FLO said:Shawn said:Posted elsewhere so will link here. Great precip through this area, just a bit warm:
Today's 12z On the Left. Last night's 00z on the Right.
Yea even the local people have said temps shouldn't be an issue. I hope they are right.
Find it hard to believe we get over an inch of liquid as all snow. The para gfs from 06z shows around half an inch as snow for a chunk of us.. but.. The cut off line of snow is getting very close though. Here:
Yea I am losing faith. CAE is always on the wrong side of that snow line, so I expect nothing less.
FLO said:Shawn said:FLO said:Shawn said:Posted elsewhere so will link here. Great precip through this area, just a bit warm:
Today's 12z On the Left. Last night's 00z on the Right.
Yea even the local people have said temps shouldn't be an issue. I hope they are right.
Find it hard to believe we get over an inch of liquid as all snow. The para gfs from 06z shows around half an inch as snow for a chunk of us.. but.. The cut off line of snow is getting very close though. Here:
Yea I am losing faith. CAE is always on the wrong side of that snow line, so I expect nothing less.
Well, temps may not be handled completely right by these models so there's that. CAE seemed confident last night that the guidance was a bit warm. I've learned to use Newberry as a dividing line over the years. Sadly.
Shawn said:FLO said:Shawn said:FLO said:Shawn said:Posted elsewhere so will link here. Great precip through this area, just a bit warm:
Today's 12z On the Left. Last night's 00z on the Right.
Yea even the local people have said temps shouldn't be an issue. I hope they are right.
Find it hard to believe we get over an inch of liquid as all snow. The para gfs from 06z shows around half an inch as snow for a chunk of us.. but.. The cut off line of snow is getting very close though. Here:
Yea I am losing faith. CAE is always on the wrong side of that snow line, so I expect nothing less.
Well, temps may not be handled completely right by these models so there's that. CAE seemed confident last night that the guidance was a bit warm. I've learned to use Newberry as a dividing line over the years. Sadly.
Newberry almost always hits the jackpot.
Unless you are in NC/SC/extreme eastern GA the actual low track doesn't matter. For instance a hundred miles of either way won't change much. For Us in MS, AL and the rest of GA this is a overrunning, SW flow set up which is clearly visible from the QPF patterns. We need the wave to dig more and establish a stronger SW flow while having a deeper push of cold air. Unless it really amps WAA or CAA from the system itself will be minimal for us at least.
Awesome. Ty for that. Ya we don't get Nada but have the best moisture. It's the way it goes. LmaoShawn said:Posted elsewhere so will link here. Great precip through this area, just a bit warm:
Today's 12z On the Left. Last night's 00z on the Right.
Storm5 said:outside of NC, georgia and alabama really want something like the gfs/gefs to verify . all models work for NCARCC said:
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Thanks.....these are the comments that are most helpful to a novice like me