Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

[Storm5]

cmc has nasty ice in central alabama below birmingham towards Montgomery and back into central miss

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Is there a ice map from CMC

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[richardjacks]

Even if the surface low track is further south than many may want, I expect the northern extent of the precip field to be underforecast...I just don't see this being a fairly dry/compact system like we have seen along the gulf coast at times.

 

[HixsonWX]

So Nashville isn't totally out of it?

If the current models are correct on the 2nd (bigger) wave, yes. I think you guys might see some snow showers and possible very light accumulations out of the first wave, though.

 

[Lovemesomesnow]

Canadian says a little more North

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This is what the Fox6 map is using today.  Also James Spann just posted this map.  Kind of strange to me that they are posting so early.  It's Tuesday??? :blush:

 

[snowman72]

I want this storm to drift North so us here in Tennessee gets a little action

 

[NWMSGuy]

Looks like the CMC keeps the low closer to the coastline.

 

[DadOfJax]

I keep getting emails from this thread....I am jot subscribe to it though. How do I stop the emails?

 

[Oconeexman]

NC guys say trust in the Canadian, SC and GA guys say trust in the GFS. Ugh.

Not us upstate SC guys. Give us the Ukmet/last nights euro and a side of cmc. Gfs trend north eventually and paste the 85 corridor!

 

[Flo]

I keep getting emails from this thread....I am jot subscribe to it though. How do I stop the emails?

I keep getting text alerts from the app, and they are from posts an hour ago. I have unfollowed the thread and still keep getting them.

 

[HixsonWX]

I want this storm to drift North so us here in Tennessee gets a little action

+1,000,000

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

I have a pretty good feeling that the GFS will not be the ultimate solution for this storm and think we're ultimately going to see a solution that's a compromise between too sheared out (the GFS and foreign models flipped in this role) and amped up.

 

[SnowHusky]

Canadian says a little more North

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This is what the Fox6 map is using today.  Also James Spann just posted this map.  Kind of strange to me that they are posting so early.  It's Tuesday??? :blush:

That's the old CMC...the 12z CMC shows higher SN accumulations

 

[MayberryWx]

NC guys say trust in the Canadian, SC and GA guys say trust in the GFS. Ugh.

I wouldn't put too much stock in either at this point, but the UKMET is good at this range.

 

[accu35]

cmc has nasty ice in central alabama below birmingham towards Montgomery and back into central miss

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Is there a ice map from CMC

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Holy cow, that's some good looking ice

 

[Webberweather53]

Yea as Larry & Brick said. the UKMET looks amazing for the I-85 corridor from Atlanta to Richmond

 

[GaWx]

Even if the surface low track is further south than many may want, I expect the northern extent of the precip field to be underforecast...I just don't see this being a fairly dry/compact system like we have seen along the gulf coast at times.

  The significant precip shield was way far north of the 1/2-3/2002 SE winter storm whose sfc low crossed central FL (near where the 12Z GFS has it). ATL, for example, got a major hit (4-5").

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

BTW: I keep being subscribed to this thread every time I post to it.

 

[Flo]

BTW: I keep being subscribed to this thread every time I post to it.

Same, I unsubscribe everytime too.

 

[deltadog03]

Even if the surface low track is further south than many may want, I expect the northern extent of the precip field to be underforecast...I just don't see this being a fairly dry/compact system like we have seen along the gulf coast at times.

Post of the day for sure!!!!

 

[MayberryWx]

Yea as Larry & Brick said. the UKMET looks amazing for the I-85 corridor from Atlanta to Richmond

Agreed.  The UKMET is quite reliable in this range.