bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Canadian phases the second northern stream influx with our shortwave
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Yeah CMC starts to bomb off GA coastWebberweather53 said:Here's what I'm talking about. That ULL over great lakes starts to dig considerably further southwestward than the previous run and phases with this once it gets to GA. Although this run may miss wide right (GFS progressive bias may be partially to blame) it highlights the fact there's definitely a risk of a huge coastal Miller A bomb off the Carolinas and VA... If we see the same trend with this feature that we observed with the first northern stream disturbance that's going to shear this out a little over the Pacific northwest and northern Rockies in the next day or so (w/ NS disturbance trending deeper, further SW), could get mighty interesting to say the least in the Carolinas & Mid-Atlantic
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Brick Tamland
Guest
UK looks like a good hit here, too.
Flo
Member
This will probably happen screwing CAE as usual.Brick Tamland said:Canadian looks good for here.
whatalife
Moderator
Shawn said:
Temps are off IMO
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HartselleWeather
Guest
Brick Tamland said:Canadian looks good for here.
Also on the north side of the precip it will be a higher snow ratio considering the cold attic air.
Also, if this starts to phase sooner, wouldn't that put alot more people in play?tellicowx said:Yeah CMC starts to bomb off GA coastWebberweather53 said:Here's what I'm talking about. That ULL over great lakes starts to dig considerably further southwestward than the previous run and phases with this once it gets to GA. Although this run may miss wide right (GFS progressive bias may be partially to blame) it highlights the fact there's definitely a risk of a huge coastal Miller A bomb off the Carolinas and VA... If we see the same trend with this feature that we observed with the first northern stream disturbance that's going to shear this out a little over the Pacific northwest and northern Rockies in the next day or so (w/ NS disturbance trending deeper, further SW), could get mighty interesting to say the least in the Carolinas & Mid-Atlantic
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whatalife
Moderator
Shawn said:
I think it's in a good spot for the most part
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I mean why are we worrying about temps off an unreliable model 3-4 days out . it's kinda obvious the gfs is on its own at the model . Eric brought up a good point about the gfs being too progressive.
God I need some tequila . gonna be along 4 days
better get the wife some wine incase we are snowed in
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God I need some tequila . gonna be along 4 days
better get the wife some wine incase we are snowed in
Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
dsaur
Member
Bham 99 said:
Agreed. Since I've been south of Atl, after living in Atl until the early 80's, I've seen deeper snow than I ever saw in Atl. Sometimes things line up right and we are closer to the heavy rains near the furnace, but not so close as to be warm nosed to death. Atl gets it more often, but I get deeper amounts when I get a good path thru here. T
whatalife
Moderator
Storm5 said:I mean why are we worrying about temps off an unreliable model 3-4 days out . it's kinda obvious the gfs is on its own at the model . Eric brought up a good point about the gfs being too progressive.
God I need some tequila . gonna be along 4 days
better get the wife some wine incase we are snowed in
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LOL! Nice. You've gone from loaning your wife out to buying her a bottle of wine. HAHA!
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HartselleWeather
Guest
What the the ukmet say about the storm?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
tellicowx said:Also, if this starts to phase sooner, wouldn't that put alot more people in play?tellicowx said:Yeah CMC starts to bomb off GA coastWebberweather53 said:Here's what I'm talking about. That ULL over great lakes starts to dig considerably further southwestward than the previous run and phases with this once it gets to GA. Although this run may miss wide right (GFS progressive bias may be partially to blame) it highlights the fact there's definitely a risk of a huge coastal Miller A bomb off the Carolinas and VA... If we see the same trend with this feature that we observed with the first northern stream disturbance that's going to shear this out a little over the Pacific northwest and northern Rockies in the next day or so (w/ NS disturbance trending deeper, further SW), could get mighty interesting to say the least in the Carolinas & Mid-Atlantic
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Yea it would, but that would most likely be the Apps and Mid-Atlantic and mixing would be an issue along/south of I-20, but it definitely would up the ante for areas of the Carolinas & VA, perhaps northeastern GA... The track/intensity being advertised by the UKMET atm is ideal for the I-85 corridor from ATL-GSP-CLT-GSO-RDU-RIC
Shawn said:
I honestly don't buy that. It's the warmest model of them all. I would think Temps should support snow or wintry precip down our way.
held serve looks like previous runs. would get a similar cmc solutionHartselleWeather said:
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Claycochaser
Member
Well, lookie here...found you guys! In the nick of time it appears.