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SnowFlowXXL said:
I'm the exact same. I really need to somehow change my pattern so i have a lot of energy to enjoy the event but it's hard ! Usually by the time the event gets here i'm running on adrenaline.
Goldman75 said:Shawn, does that 00z gets map show ice and sleet as well or just snow? Myrtle beach area here and use to getting pellets when just 50 miles inland gets snow
And hi all, wasnt a part of your old community, but saw this on American and really like the atmosphere here so far. Mostly a lurker so ty in advance to everyone with much more knowledge than I. Good luck to whoever can reel this one in.
Here, I grabbed some data from the 00z GFS (cobb output) for your area:
Code:
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
170107/0300Z 75 03011KT 40.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
170107/0600Z 78 03012KT 38.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
170107/0900Z 81 03014KT 36.6F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.108 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.11 0| 0|100
170107/1200Z 84 02016KT 33.9F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.381 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.49 0| 0|100
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
170107/1500Z 87 03020KT 32.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.394 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.88 0| 0|100
170107/1800Z 90 02018KT 28.7F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.61|| 0.585 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.61|| 1.47 0| 0|100
170107/2100Z 93 02017KT 26.7F SNOW 14:1| 2.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.182 14:1| 2.5|| 0.00|| 0.61|| 1.65 89| 11| 0
170108/0000Z 96 02016KT 25.8F FZDZ 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.02|| 0.017 14:1| 2.5|| 0.00|| 0.63|| 1.67 0| 0|100
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---What this is saying is 2.5 inches Snow, 0.61 Freezing Rain for KMYR.
Good to see everyone on here from the old Talkweather forum. Glad I was able to find this place. Hope everyone is doing well. Happy New Year to all the folks. Now, let's hope we can reel this one in for most everyone on the forum.
Again, I'm going with a blend of GFS and CMC with the snowfall amounts. The models can have a hard time picking up those convective snow bands. I still believe that there will be higher amounts in the red marking that I drew. There could even be higher amounts in the narrow blue box that I drew over in AL. It's looking like north AL and area's north of ATL will see any where from 1-3". In the red box, any where from 4-6". Blue box in AL, 3-4". We'll see where we are with the Euro when it comes out.
Shawn said:
I'm sorry about that Shawn. I just felt like if i posted in the main thread the word would spread quicker since people don't read the banter threads as much and I didn't know who to send a private message to.
If anyone else was wanting to view their COBB output for their location go to http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/ and find your location, click the circle, and you will get a menu with options to view. It's Bufkit, without having to install it imo.
NorthGAWinterWx said:Again, I'm going with a blend of GFS and CMC with the snowfall amounts. The models can have a hard time picking up those convective snow bands. I still believe that there will be higher amounts in the red marking that I drew. There could even be higher amounts in the narrow blue box that I drew over in AL. It's looking like north AL and area's north of ATL will see any where from 1-3". In the red box, any where from 4-6". Blue box in AL, 3-4". We'll see where we are with the Euro when it comes out.
I truly believe this is going to overperform like this early week storm did.
Local Media hopping all over the RPM model... the worst model in all of meteorology. Shows rain moving into NGA around 6am Friday then all out by midday friday with very light accumulations limted to extreme northwest Georgia.
So is there two waves?! The model on WSB showed a wave early Friday and then more Friday night and Saturday?? North GA. I'm so lost lol. Everyone saying something totally different on the networks here
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I will say this...whether I was right or wrong...I did show models for sure, but I ALWAYS made my own forecast...ie maps...I always thought if you want someone to believe you and trust your forecast, you have to do the work and make your own forecasted map for the storm...
bouncycorn said:
I can't tell you how many times the Atlanta news stations does this. They are extremely conservative 3 days out. Always have been. Especially Fox 5. I would much rather get my information on here than any of the media outlets.
SnowFlowXXL said:
Yeah he was. Great guy but wow was he conservative. It really annoyed me. Of course maybe its best to be conservative when you forecast for a city that averages about 2" per year.