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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm

Here's the difference at the surface on the Euro at hr27

Tzpiqc6.gif
 
bouncycorn said:
I wish there were a way to go back and view model data from back then. I don't even remember what models showed beforehand. I remember a winter storm watch then warning was issued for southern metro ATL counties the day before the event and then expanded to the rest of metro Atlanta the morning of the event.

If this event overperforms and causes similar issues in Atlanta, it'd be one of the biggest model fails in recent memory.
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I believe the reason why that storm busted was because the NW side of the precip shield was underestimated. The short range models caught on better (the reason I can say that is there is a long stream related to this storm where the guy in there is talking about how the short range models were a warning shot).

I don’t remember what the models showed, but I do remember that Rome (which is where I was at for college for a little while, yes, it’s been that long and I’m still trying to work on being able to figure out how to make something of myself and get a job, it’s sad and I’m feeling it a bit more lately, what I’m working on now is medical coding) was supposed to just see a dusting of snow.

Ended up with a few inches of powder. Fun storm.

Don’t know if it’ll be as bad of a bust as that, but certainly feels as if Atlanta could see some flakes.
 
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These snow shower might pack a punch when they move by .. anything more at this point is just guaranteeing more road issues tonight and tomorrow morning
 
bouncycorn said:
00z MMFS is in!
Snowfall Accumulation
ZR Accumulation
Experimental Winter Storm Impact Index
Showing an expansion of the NW precip. Snow accumulations have slightly increased as well. Still showing a high impact event for many in NC/SC.


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Wow this model did a 180 quickly .. I wonder what piece of information really made everything finally see this solution there had to be bad data at some point given to all the models
 
DopplerWx said:
View attachment 109036Latest HRRR from noon tomorrow thru the end of its run. A beauty!
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I feel like it keeps getting a tad faster .. entering wake around 5-6 .. wonder if we can get this thing here at 12 pm .. the more hours in these temperatures of that type of snow .. magic can happen .. we want every hour we can get
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Wow this model did a 180 quickly .. I wonder what piece of information really made everything finally see this solution there had to be bad data at some point given to all the models
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Not sure what it is, but just about every model has made the adjustment. Models in general have really struggled with this storm & have had higher than usual run-to-run inconsistency.
 
bouncycorn said:
Not sure what it is, but just about every model has made the adjustment. Models in general have really struggled with this storm & have had higher than usual run-to-run inconsistency.
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You would think we would have lots of data coming from that piece of energy at H5 we have been looking at clearly trending amped
 
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