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Zander98al
Guest
Your getting my hopes up, I see a wisp of snow in north Alabama ?. I need my hopes squashed before they go up
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Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential
- Thread starter Shawn
- Start date
Broken024
Member
So is this from phasing earlier?
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
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NAMed
Yea the sfc reflection should have been better then that tbh
Hypsometric
Member
LickWx
Member
Sucks that the nam sucks
Looking at the RH numbers, the triangle still had at least six hours of snow left
Yeah we would definitely deal with mixing issues but that track, strength verbatim would crash the column on exit and probably go pound town before completely shutting off.
This almost makes me think those CIPS analogs have some merit. This is a healthy accumulating snow band. Already looks like higher rates than our past storm but the catch is "warmer" temps meaning ratios would most likely be less than what we had then.
packfan98
Moderator
I'd argue for more. Go back and look at the Euro run and how long eastern NC was showing snow even when the Low pressures was well north of the area.
Trying not to get excited, but that's a good NAM run considering what we've been seeing. If 18z gfs comes back we might have something to look at tomorrow after all. Certainly for the 0z suites
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Zander98al
Guest
Tell you what, we may have a. Good chance at some backside snow in Alabama. Like this look. Would like to see it feel in some more
Hypsometric
Member
RDU was about to get plastered. Yes it's the NAM, yes it's atrocious this far out BUT you can use this as a point of reference. IF we keep this look moving forward, this might be what to expect.
JB's take around lunch when he posted this. that is a heck of a trough
Unlike last week where there were many moving parts, this is the grand planetary wave bundling its energy. So my take is, like 93, like 2010, like 2018 and most recently the analogged storm in early Jan. the GFS is going to have to correct toward the euro, But we will see, Just thought I would weigh in here
In the longer term what a war The Euro looks nothing like its weeklies by what is now day 15, The models are threatening Feb 2021. So if you enjoy the weather, this is the kind of pattern you like to get
Unlike last week where there were many moving parts, this is the grand planetary wave bundling its energy. So my take is, like 93, like 2010, like 2018 and most recently the analogged storm in early Jan. the GFS is going to have to correct toward the euro, But we will see, Just thought I would weigh in here
In the longer term what a war The Euro looks nothing like its weeklies by what is now day 15, The models are threatening Feb 2021. So if you enjoy the weather, this is the kind of pattern you like to get
NAM clown maps every 6 hours now 
Cary_Snow95
Member
The energy diving down on the back of the trough is a thing of beauty 
I should’ve known. The same thing that happened last storm happened again when a branch of the SREF came way in.