Ok this is interesting. So do us Triangle folks now need to reverse course and to root for a flatter, more SE solution to bring the ULT further east?Lol @ going from an E NC jackpot to a W NC jackpot.
Ok this is interesting. So do us Triangle folks now need to reverse course and to root for a flatter, more SE solution to bring the ULT further east?Lol @ going from an E NC jackpot to a W NC jackpot.
I'm visiting NYC this weekend and WILL be happy if it trends off to the east!Clearly ticking S/E on the Euro past few runs. PHL to NYC ain't going to be happy.
View attachment 110691
I'm just gonna leave this hereSounding in Charlotte is absolutely beautiful, sounding is arguably good enough for thundersnowView attachment 110695
This is exactly what I think of when I saw that EURO run… oddly enough this storm started out looking like it would be completely a eastern NC jackpot…
It’s an excellent analog: ULL, Lee side trof, crashing column.This is exactly what I think of when I saw that EURO run… oddly enough this storm started out looking like it would be completely a eastern NC jackpot…
Ensembles following/playing catch-up to the operation runs…seen this many times before.EPS says coastal snow ain't happening and hopes should be on ull pass. Well it was fun hoping for a big one.
View attachment 110700
Ensembles following/playing catch-up to the operation runs…seen this many times before.
Complete whiff and 60sI've lost track of what we are hoping for now on the 18z runs. ?
I guess the RGEM was correct.
I think for the 0z runs tonightWere the waves sampled for the 12z runs or does that come later?
What does it being slower have to the overall impact? More time to organize?Based off obs, nam has been to fast with the southern stream energy. Not good news for enc
Imby special I live in the white circle I don't see that happening this go round but I'd love a repeat of that storm. Had a meso low devolop in the South mtns the day before that storm that gave us the foot totals cool storm for sure.
Slower is bad. Means slower phaseWhat does it being slower have to the overall impact? More time to organize?
I hope so man I think that's the best case for Charlotte and points NW.NAM looks like the euro at H5. this run might be a Lee side band Piedmont special
Looks like the low is way offshore. Is this all from a strong upper low some people have talked about?In the NAM WE TRUST !View attachment 110716
This is a boggling concept to me.. temps should be similar to if not a bit higher than last event during snowfall probably 29-31 I would say in the “thick” of whatever comes.. so how can snow ratios be higher in this event than last?? I assume it’s dynamics above our heads and the potential for the column to crash so rapidly is causing an intense snow liquid ratio .. I just don’t understand the process that wellInteresting from RAH NWS, they just won't let it go will they lol. My my how these systems change and never ever end up as first modeled.
However, it is also important to note, deep f-gen forcing and the
presence of CSI suggest favorable conditions for mesoscale snow
bands to develop and spread east across central NC Friday night.
Furthermore, intense dynamic cooling aloft will result in a sharp
increase in snow/liquid ratios(SLR) on the order of 15-17:1)
during that same time frame. These ingredients could result in the
potential for some very localized/very focused higher snowfall
amounts, quite possibly even warning criteria (>=3"). While it`s
very difficult to know exactly where these bands will set up, the
greatest potential is across the northern Piedmont and northern
coastal plain counties.
I was told that it was a low ratio snow despite the upper levels clearly supporting a high ratio snow.Interesting from RAH NWS, they just won't let it go will they lol. My my how these systems change and never ever end up as first modeled.
However, it is also important to note, deep f-gen forcing and the
presence of CSI suggest favorable conditions for mesoscale snow
bands to develop and spread east across central NC Friday night.
Furthermore, intense dynamic cooling aloft will result in a sharp
increase in snow/liquid ratios(SLR) on the order of 15-17:1)
during that same time frame. These ingredients could result in the
potential for some very localized/very focused higher snowfall
amounts, quite possibly even warning criteria (>=3"). While it`s
very difficult to know exactly where these bands will set up, the
greatest potential is across the northern Piedmont and northern
coastal plain counties.
I like the 3k hi res showing that. Picking up on those details.Uhhh NAM 3km