Being that it is convective in nature, there should be some very steep lapse rates that would quickly saturate the the low levels... kinda like a pop up thunderstorm on a summer day.How do we know that even makes it to the ground?
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What does that first picture show
Thank goodness I live at the very southern part of iredell. Just a short drive to the magic!
Cape or thunderstorm fuelWhat does that first picture show
Jump highHow do we know that even makes it to the ground?
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Just like summer thunderstorms. Once you lose daylight the convective showers dissipateEven the end of the run still has a few snow showers continuing into Christmas night. LolView attachment 59791
That little stripe of 2 inches in southern Union County is right over my house... lol
Needs to keep trending in the right direction! I don't think we should get our hopes up yet until the event is within 18 hours. Long range HRRR and RAP is kind of like long range namI could see more with this look That’s some
Impressive UL energy View attachment 59792got a classic lee trough to boot View attachment 59794
Also got moist 700s to boot, along with very very steep low level lapse rates (8-8.5C), and temps still around freezing for many View attachment 59795View attachment 59796View attachment 59797
And if those bands form over them and don't move much.. oh boyThose 1 hour snow rates tho.... some maxing our around 2.5 inches per hour in SC View attachment 59798View attachment 59799
With those 850s being that low, any snow that falls would likely be very dry and fluffy, so an area that gets under any of those bands could get quick coating to an inch because you simply don’t need as much moisture. Back in the mid 2000s there was a quick convective burst of snow that went through the Raleigh area that put down 1.5 inches of snow with only .04 liquid equivalent.I could see more with this look ?? That’s some
Impressive UL energy View attachment 59792got a classic lee trough to boot View attachment 59794
Also got moist 700s to boot, along with very very steep low level lapse rates (8-8.5C), and temps still around freezing for many View attachment 59795View attachment 59796View attachment 59797
Those ratios may be crazyWith those 850s being that low, any snow that falls would likely be very dry and fluffy, so an area that gets under any of those bands could get quick coating to an inch because you simply don’t need as much moisture. Back in the mid 2000s there was a quick convective burst of snow that went through the Raleigh area that put down 1.5 inches of snow with only .04 liquid equivalent.