Wintry ❄The Christmas Miracle❄(12-24/12-25)

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks way different than the dupage map.

I’m assuming COD uses the same thing TT does with 6hr maps, so it’s sorta deceiving on there, as that over-inflates the mean

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

UKMET View attachment 59309View attachment 59310
IMO there would probably be more flurries/snow showers then it shows under this strong cutoff, can clearly see the packet of moist 700s under it,here’s a sounding under it as well, clearly shows a sounding supportive of snow showers/flurries View attachment 59311View attachment 59312

Lee side trough potential? ??One of my favorites

 

[SETNwx]

17 degree difference in temps... will CMC ever 'fix' its cold bias?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lee side trough potential? ??One of my favorites

?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

CMC ens is pretty bullish about that clipper

 

[Myfrotho704_]

No go for a flizzard

 

[accu35]

No go for a flizzard View attachment 59323

And so far it's pretty much alone on that. Other models show the flizzard plus ENS

 

[SETNwx]

Euro usually gets it right at 84 hours out.. hope this is one of the few times it's wrong:

 

[SETNwx]

Teen lows are tough to come by in Dec these days.. This is a pretty strong Arctic front almost a third of the way through Met Winter, and still whiffs:

 

[Jeremy Camp]

 

[SETNwx]

Looks about right, 6z NAM:

 

[John1122]

06z GFS pops a low in Eastern Alabama and sends it up the Lee side of the Apps where it crushed Tennessee. The Canadian/RGEM/GFS/GFSV16/NAM all pop the low well south of Tennessee, the Euro/UKIE pop it toward Bluefield, WV the last couple of runs. Where it forms has major consequences for Tennessee/Georgia/Alabama.

 

[SETNwx]

MRX still talking 'uncertainty' but the certainty is that they will always forecast 0.0 inches of snow for the Southern Tn Valley... lol

 

[SETNwx]

06z GFS pops a low in Eastern Alabama and sends it up the Lee side of the Apps where it crushed Tennessee. The Canadian/RGEM/GFS/GFSV16/NAM all pop the low well south of Tennessee, the Euro/UKIE pop it toward Bluefield, WV the last couple of runs. Where it forms has major consequences for Tennessee/Georgia/Alabama.

View attachment 59360

looks like Athens/Sweetwater North get clobbered.. I've seen this happen before. (Mrx busting on the low end, I mean. )

 

[John1122]

looks like Athens/Sweetwater North get clobbered.. I've seen this happen before. (Mrx busting on the low end, I mean. )

MRX seems to have blended the UKIE and the Euro and are ignoring all other modeling.

 

[jackendrickwx]

GSP reintroduced a slight chance of rn/sn around 11pm-12am Christmas Eve

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

nam gives some flurries/light snow showers to north ga!

 

[SD]

Some of the soundings from northern AL/Ga late Christmas Eve don't look bad on the 12k

 

[DixieBlizzard]

Our pinpoint NWS forecast has the transition to "mixed precip" beginning after 1PM on Christmas Eve. We've had one good "dusting to an inch" earlier this month already. I'm not writing this one off quite yet.

Earlier this month in the Ellijay area:

 

[Myfrotho704_]