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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

malak05 said:
RGEM for the win
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Did this just come out?
 
Holy moly the RGEM!!!!!! Also the ICON busted pretty hard on precip on one storm earlier in the year. It and the NAM had way too much.
 
Webberweather53 said:
DWD-ICON looks like it's almost a packfan bullseye. 0.5" QPF max near Salisbury would end up being more than 6" of snow w/ 12-15:1 ratios
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Yeah, but, the Icon gives central NC about 6+ hours of rain. NOT GOOD. Hope it's too warm. Usually, the NAM models are very good with temperature profiles so I hope they are correct.
 
mrdaddyman said:
Yeah, but, the Icon gives central NC about 6+ hours of rain. NOT GOOD. Hope it's too warm. Usually, the NAM models are very good with temperature profiles so I hope they are correct.
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Need the precip from the ICON and temps from the NAM. I think 1300 said yesterday it should be cold enough around here for mostly snow.
 
mrdaddyman said:
Yeah, but, the Icon gives central NC about 6+ hours of rain. NOT GOOD. Hope it's too warm. Usually, the NAM models are very good with temperature profiles so I hope they are correct.
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Yeah this is what I was afraid of and alluded to yesterday that mixing could become an issue SE of Greensboro & Roxboro esp at the start of the event... The central-western piedmont will be fine, from US HWY 1 & points east not as confident...
 
mrdaddyman said:
Yeah, but, the Icon gives central NC about 6+ hours of rain. NOT GOOD. Hope it's too warm. Usually, the NAM models are very good with temperature profiles so I hope they are correct.
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Honestly and not wishcasting, I'd gi with the NAM on temps it always does well with that. I think there will be some mixing at the onset but it should be a quick change over Central and Northwestern Piedmont of North Carolina looks solid to me

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Just wondering why gets moist just sout of Memphis, dries up some northeast ms for a bit then comes back together, what causes that? Promise I’m happy where I’m at, just wondering.
 
Per RGEM cold air arriving late in the upstate but still plenty of firehouse action once temps decide to cooperate
 
GEM drivers .3+ QPF in the upstate. We can afford some totals cut by rain with that type of precip
 
Question is how much QPF does the Triad/Triangle lose crashing temps. With afternoon highs in the upper 40's, and good security blanket of clouds rolling in to trap heat, I hope the cold air can beat that out enough to have a decent remnant of liquid to fall as an impactful snow.
 
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