Hmmmmmm…
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Pattern Fab Feb
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
rburrel2
Member
Having the long range NAM on your side always works out.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
What’s Google Model have to say? I’m never saying anything again unless that goat has it. It’s won it’s cred with me
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
My area always seems to really perform in cold events, this morning got down to -0.2. Probably gonna go lower tonight, western York county sc
Mjo possibly getting into the IO is going to at least favor periods of western trough but it doesn't favor a SER. Maybe post mid month once/if the mjo can progress forward we can get into mid of a SER pattern. Until then I wouldn't be surprised if we had at least another shot or 2 through the 15th.
AlabamaWxWatcher
Member
This pattern has been absolutely brutal for Alabama in terms of winter weather. Central Alabama has seen some flurries and cold temps for the last 4-5 weeks. Ready for a pattern mixup.
Snowking2.0
Member
Snow for the carolina’s again same song and dance for the same areas on the NAM
Cosgrove is still convinced there's a legitimate wide-spread threat around Valentines Day. Many in the energy industry uses his service.
Canadian trying to destroy citrus crops tonight 
John1122
Member
High water content snow. This type vaporizes in the sun even if it's 25.
You guys had great winters while we watched from a far in recent winters . It’s good to take turns.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
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Winter wonderland in SW VA
rburrel2
Member
If we get a block to develop here and keep it undercut through the Atlantic… we will widespread winter storm again in mid-February, imo. Even with the not ideal pacific.(also won’t shock me to see the west coast improve as we get closer since that’s been the theme all winter).
Models seem pretty keyed in on developing that block there too.
Models seem pretty keyed in on developing that block there too.
That cold shot next weekend as modeled is as cold as any we've had during this cold snap in the carolinas and va
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
I know some of you are ready for spring but not me. I got a beautiful snow but certainly not a big dog and I am hankering for more. BRING IT ON!
Winter ain't going nowhere. Chillax
i slept in. feel recharged. and i take back what said yesterday. not done. just more determined and hopeful!
let's get one for alabama, atlanta, and raleigh!
let's get one for alabama, atlanta, and raleigh!
Snizzle’s arch nemesis
That was a big dog for me lol
rburrel2
Member
Believe it happened in February 2010 too.
Very false
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I bet there's at least two inches of ice and sleet still on the ground in Nashville and in some places it hasn't even looked like it melted at all covering large areas
Hows the weather look in Tahoe for the 12-18...lol. asking for a friend.
Temperature dropped fast since sunset. Already down to 25
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Probably snowier in NC than there.
In all seriousness I saw a post (maybe shared in here) that Charlotte in one storm has almost as much snow this winter as Denver, CO.
I saw that too. Denver is only at 13.4” season to date. Of course they typically get there biggest snowfalls in March and April
rburrel2
Member
Pretty solid signal for mid-February
Ty! The weeklies look the best they have all winter there. lol
Those who’ve said they’re sick of the cold pattern and thus want it to end ASAP and stay away (definitely not me) must love the much warmer E US vs how it looked late last week on the models for mid-Feb. Due to much warmer models for the E US weeks 2-3 vs how they looked Friday, natural gas opened as sharply down as I can ever recall it doing (-15%!). I hope BAM isn’t too upset lol:
When you realize how much warmer the EPS is vs Fri, you’d realize one of the reasons:
Fri 12Z EPS HDD (lower left purple): week 2 gradually warmed only to normal HDD
Today’s 12Z EPS HDD (lower left purple): week 2 now plunges to significantly below normal HDD/warmer than normal
The HDD for Feb 8-13 dropped sharply from 148 to 124.
In addition, today’s Euro Weeklies for week 3 (2/16-22) are significantly warmer in the E US vs Fri’s run:
So, these models fwiw are suggesting that the cold pattern is going bye bye for an unknown length of time. Those wanting a break would be thrilled. No matter what happens, I’ll never soon forget the cold of mid Jan through early Feb, a fantastic exciting 3.5 week long period! We may be back to much more mundane wx soon.
When you realize how much warmer the EPS is vs Fri, you’d realize one of the reasons:
Fri 12Z EPS HDD (lower left purple): week 2 gradually warmed only to normal HDD
Today’s 12Z EPS HDD (lower left purple): week 2 now plunges to significantly below normal HDD/warmer than normal
The HDD for Feb 8-13 dropped sharply from 148 to 124.
In addition, today’s Euro Weeklies for week 3 (2/16-22) are significantly warmer in the E US vs Fri’s run:
So, these models fwiw are suggesting that the cold pattern is going bye bye for an unknown length of time. Those wanting a break would be thrilled. No matter what happens, I’ll never soon forget the cold of mid Jan through early Feb, a fantastic exciting 3.5 week long period! We may be back to much more mundane wx soon.
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td tide
Member
Some wait all year for winter. There is no need to wish it gone. It is a precious few months. That is all we get. Then you have to fear severe season followed by months of endless heat and humidity. I want all the winter season we can get.