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Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1

ChrisAMB said:
Seems probable. I've heard plows up and down SC9 tonight at times but no chance they get to the side roads. We should get pretty good evaporation tomorrow but those shaded areas are going to be a brick of ice Tuesday morning. That's if we even warm up enough to get real melting on Monday.
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We've been dealing with 2/3+ of the roads in the county remaining very icy from last weekend's event. Now with 6"+ everywhere, you can't see the ice patches anymore underneath the snow. It's going to be ugly here going into next week. I don't see much relief from the temperatures in the coming days. The sun will do its magic where it shines; but the shaded sections of roads will remain covered for a week plus.
 
HDGator said:
We've been dealing with 2/3+ of the roads in the county remaining very icy from last weekend's event. Now with 6"+ everywhere, you can't see the ice patches anymore underneath the snow. It's going to be ugly here going into next week. I don't see much relief from the temperatures in the coming days. The sun will do its magic where it shines; but the shaded sections of roads will remain covered for a week plus.
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What I really want to see is how cold we get tomorrow night. IMO somebody in eastern NC is making a run at zero. The pocosins especially with over a foot of snow on the ground.
 
ChrisAMB said:
There's no way areas around New Bern and down towards Beaufort didn't get into blizzard criteria today. That entire area is over a foot with another 2-4 coming tonight. With winds increasing it's probably still possible.
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I wonder if we will ever know why there was no blizzard warning issued, especially at the outer banks. It seems bizarre.
 
Attn @Shaggy @Avalanche from ILM:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1256 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Banding along coastal southeast NC and extreme northeastern SC
will result in additional snow accumulations up to 6 inches.
Lighter accumulations are possible elsewhere. Dangerously cold
temperatures will continue through Monday morning. Another cold
weather advisory may be needed Monday night into Tuesday
morning.
....
Latest radar trends indicate that heavy snowfall is occurring
for most of southeastern NC and extreme northeastern SC. HREF
and deterministic hi-res guidance suggests that additional
snowfall could accumulate up to 6 additional inches. Satellite
corroborates these incredible snowfall rates with cloud tops
similar to a mini convective pulse. Locally higher amounts are
certainly possible where some of these intense bands reside.
 
https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html

Impressive totals (and still rolling in). Looks like there are 3 distinct areas that took this storm on the chin
  • The foothills in northeast TN and into the TN/NC mountains
  • the I-85 corridor from CLT up towards Greensboro,
  • the coastal plain.

1769926995245.png
 
Man it’s still rocking down in Onslow, Jones, Craven and Carteret, wouldn’t be surprised to see a few places make a run at 20” somewhere down there. Calling it for the night, we are loosing saturation, flake size decreasing, final measurement will have to wait till first light. One for the books here, it’s the kind we always talk about and know can happen, the return interval is just not as often as many of us would like.IMG_7168.jpeg
 
SENC said:
We are under that Deform band ATM, Coming off the Coast,, here in Pender/Hanover/Brunswick counties.. BLIZZARD conditions?
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Wind soeeds here aren't at that threshold . Certainly snowing at a very good clip. Need this band to slide back to the north a touch to put us under that maximum dbz
 
Radar returns are finally backing off here on my side of the border. Still going gangbusters on the NC side. Best measurement I can get on the krispy kreme box is 7". May add another inch or so.
 
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SENC said:
Deformation band setting up? It's almost White-out conditions here on the Beach..
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It's been there since midnight or so just not as well defined. It's starting to sag south following the meso low so I'm probably not done yet.
 
SENC said:
Deformation band setting up? It's almost White-out conditions here on the Beach..
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Bet Bald Head is a wild ride tonight.

Took a Jeb….errr….drive just now (family fast asleep). Plows out doing work but that’s the worst I’ve ever seen 85/40 in NC due to the temps. Absolutely covered and several
Inches deep. Did 5 miles between Elon and Graham and saw 1 other vehicle in either direction. No one out anywhere. Peaceful to the point of eerie.


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.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1) Heavy snow will continue for part of the area
overnight. Hazardous travel and impacts to infrastructure will
continue for several days to come.

Latest radar trends indicate that heavy snowfall is occurring
for most of southeastern NC and extreme northeastern SC. HREF
and deterministic hi-res guidance suggests that additional
snowfall could accumulate up to 6 additional inches. Satellite
corroborates these incredible snowfall rates with cloud tops
similar to a mini convective pulse. Locally higher amounts are
certainly possible where some of these intense bands reside.

For the remainder of northeastern SC, the mesolow and upper very
max is gradually pushing offshore, just south of the Myrtle
Beach area. Places around Georgetown are finally starting to see
some flakes after being plagued by a dry slot for much of the
day. Accumulations will be lighter as precip rates remain light
in this region. Additional accumulations up to 3 inches will be
possible, primarily due to the atypical snow ratios. Some
locally higher amounts will be possible.
 
A little after 4 am 1mi W of Lucama NC in Wilson county, just have a few flurries falling but the accumulating snow has ended. Final total snow accumulation of 7 inches with 1 foot or so drifts noted around the periphery of houses and cars. Incredible storm for parts of the Carolinas to say the least. Glad to see that a lot of folks were able to see snow with this system whether it was a lot or a little. Near blizzard conditions still ongoing on the NC coast, incredible!


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CNCsnwfan1210 said:
A little after 4 am 1mi W of Lucama NC in Wilson county, just have a few flurries falling but the accumulating snow has ended. Final total snow accumulation of 7 inches with 1 foot or so drifts noted around the periphery of houses and cars. Incredible storm for parts of the Carolinas to say the least. Glad to see that a lot of folks were able to see snow with this system whether it was a lot or a little. Near blizzard conditions still ongoing on the NC coast, incredible!


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Current Newport/Morehead City radar


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Good morning! Looks like it snowed here for 22-23 hours straight. I can’t accurately measure, but I’d estimate 13” or so. If you would have told me prior to this storm the it would end up being the biggest storm I’d ever had in my backyard, I wouldn’t have believed it.
 
Ended up with only 2”. Far from the 4-8” various forecasters predicted for us. Big bust here unfortunately, but at least we got some I suppose.
 
ae77b0901a498747576e9d7e564cd2dc.jpg

1db68cc042c7684147c1ab5b80211f75.jpg

Pic of 1 foot cornice snow drift, it was a pain to measure and obviously had to measure snow in open ground away from structures. It’s beautiful and super cold in Wilson county this morning.


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JimBobs said:
Apparently the San Antonio Spurs couldn't fly out of CLT today after the Hornets spanked them this afternoon. 564 flights departing from CLT cancelled today, 512 flights arriving to CLT cancelled today. So far.
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I had 2 flights canceled last night and already 2 replacement flights today. Total disaster. I’m currently booked on 3 different flights to get to Vegas for a big work event between this afternoon and tomorrow just trying to get there!
 
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