Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

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wtf is going on?
namconus_asnow_seus_29.png
 
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Reactions: StormStalker
look at this quote from the latest KCAE forecast discussion:

There
has not been much change in the thinking regarding this potential
storm despite the 12z NAM coming in with an apocalyptic solution
that has the surface low closer to the coast and is forecasting
several inches of snow over our area with unreasonable amounts of
QPF.
 
look at this quote from the latest KCAE forecast discussion:

There
has not been much change in the thinking regarding this potential
storm despite the 12z NAM coming in with an apocalyptic solution
that has the surface low closer to the coast and is forecasting
several inches of snow over our area with unreasonable amounts of
QPF.

Can you imagine what happens if what the mesoscale models say actually verifies? Oops.
 
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Reactions: Alex
look at this quote from the latest KCAE forecast discussion:

There
has not been much change in the thinking regarding this potential
storm despite the 12z NAM coming in with an apocalyptic solution
that has the surface low closer to the coast and is forecasting
several inches of snow over our area with unreasonable amounts of
QPF.

Not that they need to go all in just yet but I would certainly word things a little different.


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Not that they need to go all in just yet but I would certainly word things a little different.


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The rest of it basically says its wrong and the GFS/Euro agree and maybe some in eastern counties, no accumulation. But any west shifts could cause acumulation in the eastern sections.
 
So what are we waiting on to jump all in? The Euro and GFS to show the same thing?
 
The rest of it basically says its wrong and the GFS/Euro agree and maybe some in eastern counties, no accumulation. But any west shifts could cause acumulation in the eastern sections.

Man that’s crazy. Not saying we get anything out of this system and we are now entering into the NAM’s wheel house.


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That kicker is the only thing keeping totals down here. In 2000 we had a band sit over us for almost 18 hrs


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