NAM slower, stronger and further west vs 18z run hr 30
s/w looks more amped this run though even compared to 12z.Yep, lol we're pretty much going back to the 12z run in the short range w/ the upper low closer to CA and s/w slower
I could be wrong but at 33 it looks slower to meTrailing wave is also faster.
Edit: And the trough over the northeast is also further north, which should allow the stronger wave to turn neutral tilt faster.
vs the 18z run its def more tilted and not in a bad way. and slower and further west a smidgeI was thinking the same.
I was just noticing that also, don't believe that was there before.... could be a wrinkle we don't like?Hm, looks like a piece of energy is gonna come in from the West this run. Lets see if it effects the orientation/speed of the lead wave.
Hm, looks like a piece of energy is gonna come in from the West this run. Lets see if it effects the orientation/speed of the lead wave.
Meh maybe but not too bad compared to previous runs...Not liking this run to much
Meh maybe but not too bad compared to previous runs...![]()
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For now we will toss the Nam. If the GFS and CMC show problems with the chaser then I will be worriedWhen you see the next couple frames, it's over.![]()
Plus isn't nam better when you get closer than right now?Yeah this won't cut it at all. Hopefully the GFS, CMC, UKMET, &/or Euro don't look like this or it's definitely over. Of course it's the 75 hour NAM
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Agreed... so educate me here. I thought it was slower, west and starting to tilt also and and at the end of the run it looked like it still had a chance, especially for coastal regions, so what gives? Of course it is the NAM in the long range and it's subject to crazy stuffWhat's weird is the wave was west of all it's prior runs and starting to tilt, but ya the chaser wave was very slow
Ridge wasn't as tall so the chaser couldn't dive down. No phase=RUH ROHAgreed... so educate me here. I thought it was slower, west and starting to tilt also and and at the end of the run it looked like it still had a chance, especially for coastal regions, so what gives? Of course it is the NAM in the long range and it's subject to crazy stuff
I think it started very well, and IMHO the wave itself looked much better this run, in fact.....the further west with the wave itself. The bad part, was that the chaser didn't make it in time. I think** if that chaser is there quicker this would have been a much bigger deal.Agreed... so educate me here. I thought it was slower, west and starting to tilt also and and at the end of the run it looked like it still had a chance, especially for coastal regions, so what gives? Of course it is the NAM in the long range and it's subject to crazy stuff
I get that, the 18z NAM was headed for a possible phase late or at least trending that way it would appear and this run not even close but everything about this run was different from the beginning. Funny thing to me that energy that came in from the west coast seemed to help keep our s/w strong, consolidated and further west going almost neutral tilt at the end but I guess without the phase even if it were to go neutral to negative it wouldn't work. Anyway I wouldn't lose hope over one NAM run and may have to wait for the Ukmet and Euro to see if this is a "trend".... not gonna rely on the GFS that's for sure. edit: unless the GFS shows what we want lolRidge wasn't as tall so the chaser couldn't dive down. No phase=RUH ROH