That folks is your classic 1988 snowstorm part 2. Classic miller A. Gonna be some big hits in the ensembles tonight.
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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The Euro run was close to doing something extremely stupid.
What amazing about this is. That we have some type of agreement with some type of storm during this time period from all the models. I don’t remember last time we have seen that.
Yes it definitely was! Wanted to pick your brain on possibilities of getting a Feb. 73 type storm? Do you see any hallmarks of a situation like that?
Way to bring it home with the PBP jrips
The last time I've seen a 576 dm contour on a Greenland Block may have been during the absurd block in December 2010
Another uptick on GEFS. Run out to 318 hours.
Thank you sir. That run felt like watching you and Burgertime on Americanwx back in the day posting about the Euro late at night. Not sure where he ended up but man that guy is a legendWay to bring it home with the PBP jrips
The last time I've seen a 576 dm contour on a Greenland Block may have been during the absurd block in December 2010
500mb vort. Not sure you could draw it up better if you tried
Can you post 10/1? I’m curious.
Sure! It’s lighter definitely but temps support better ratios especially in the northern half of the snow corridor. Atlanta is in the mid 20’s for instance
We’re talking a days on days on days of lake effect snow. These are the events that get LES down into the western facing slopes of WNC if you get the angle right. And these types of NW flow events can pile the the snow up in a hurry. Prime ski resort conditions. Maybe an all timer season if it all comes together. Which it won’t. But it might 
John1122
Member
If that Euro run comes to pass, the Blizzard of '93 would move into second place for a lot of areas, among winter storms.
Thanks. I was just curious because for instance on 12/08/17, Kuchera was actually low total wise.
wow
Member
The euro and GFS not that far off at 500mb but the euro doesn't botch the surface reflection. This is what I expected to see on the GFS run.
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Surface temps *start* in the lower 20s and drop into the mid teens, at least in my back yard.
It’s January 1988 all over
It’s January 1988 all over
Go ahead and start pre-dripping them faucets
Woof woof. EPS supports the euro on the second storm 
That particular euro run, for instance, takes the upstate of sc below freezing around 6pm on 1/7 and doesn’t get it back above freezing for the duration of the run ending 6pm on 1/12. An all timer folks. Even by long range weenie run standards this shouldn’t happen
That mean is nuts on so many levels. Tampa has a trace…
Trend on last 3 runs of Euro Ensemble Mean 5-Day average for Jan 5 to Jan 10. Pacific / North American pattern edging west. Blocks over Greenland and north of AK strengthening. Low anomaly under the block in the Eastern U.S. stretching out (not as suffocating).The NAO region looks superb on euro ensemble this is an insane anomaly for 330hrs out
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CNCsnwfan1210
Member
One inch snowfall mean all the way down to NE Louisiana, wow! This has really big potential written all over it.
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There is already chatter in the MA forum about a HECS
For reference:
SECS 6-12 inches Significant East Coast Storm
MECS 12-24 inches Major East Coast Storm
HECS 24-36 inches Historic East Coast Storm
BECS 36+ inches Biblical East Coast Storm
the hunt is on
For reference:
SECS 6-12 inches Significant East Coast Storm
MECS 12-24 inches Major East Coast Storm
HECS 24-36 inches Historic East Coast Storm
BECS 36+ inches Biblical East Coast Storm
the hunt is on
Just help it snow in Tahoe at very end of Jan/early Feb please. lol.
wow
Member
Models: EPS - Pivotal Weather
View EPS weather model forecast map image for Snow Depth [mean] in Mid-Atlantic on pivotalweather.com.
Six Mile Wx
Member
severestorm
Member
Snow mean has gone down for KAVL since 18z by a full inch.
I figured since some folks were referencing other major winter storms, I would bring up Feb 73'. I don't think the setup as stands now, would be similar to that one or yield that kind of result. I just wanted to get thoughts on how probable it would be to get something like that, this time around (if we are lucky enough to get a storm).
Six Mile Wx
Member
wow
Member
CFS with multiple hits .. First Jan 6, then small event Jan 10, then going big with a massive bomb Jan 13. Wow.
Six Mile Wx
Member
Only a few members of the EPS have the same solution as the Euro op for the 8-9 event. Hopefully we see that pick up on the next run!
6 hour snowfall for comparison
6 hour snowfall for comparison
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CNCsnwfan1210
Member
I mean…look at where we were a week ago, pretty big improvements since then!Let’s put that chef hat on and get to work. This forum is lit and I love it!
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The 18z AI GFS graphcast was going for a monster 
Six Mile Wx
Member
Reminiscent of 1993, bomb dropped down the stove pipe
Looks like EPS Member 01 would do it!
The ‘73 storm had a classic, Mod-Strong El Niño, low latitude, west to east tracking wave in the subtropical jet stream (similar to March ‘83). Unlikely to have that in the near future, but what you’d be looking for is a healthy wave to dive sharply SSE on the eastern side of the PNA ridge into E TX / LA before sliding E then ENE out to sea underneath a heavy blocking regime to the north along the east coast
SimeonNC
Member
severestorm
Member
Snow trend....
SimeonNC
Member
498 over frickin' WV/PA lol 
packfan98
Moderator
There’s the historic Florida snowstorm on the 6z gfs!