• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

Cmc wasn't far off the same solution. Maybe we can have some eps support as well
 
Great. Now we have a storm even further away to track. Then when we get close to it, it’ll vanish also. That’s the only real trend I see in all this. I’m in Columbia, and it’s hard to even get excited.
 
I literally just saw a bigger event than 1973 was for CAE only 150 miles away on that Euro run. Hm.
 
Clem282340 said:
Okay thanks for the info. Are there a chance that the upstate can get heavier precipitation up this way if it phases where it is right now on the euro
Click to expand...

Smidge earlier you are fine, but big problems down here as some warm nosing is the problem. Actually I wouldn't mind a slightly earlier phase if I can keep the 850mb low south of me
 
Not very often do you have a 240knt jet streak at 300mb over the deep south.

us_model_en_087_0_modez_2017122800_162_5_449.png
 
Shawn said:
I literally just saw a bigger event than 1973 was for CAE only 150 miles away on that Euro run. Hm.
Click to expand...
If only man! I wasn't around during the time of that Feb. 73 storm, but heard the stories. Would be nice to have a smiler event or one to top it.
 
As of now I see 2 possible paths. 1 it's a late bloomer like cmc, or 2 it's close to euro solution. I think gfs solution is likely wrong and a bonus wildcard is it tries to phase up a bit earlier than euro showing. A240kt jet streak is nuts
 
1300m said:
As promising as these trends are, it's important to remember that things are still trending. It wouldn't surprise me to see the 12z Euro tomorrow trend towards the earlier phase and bombogensis solution because it was close last run and then even closer this run (it actually did bomb out for New England).

00Z EPS is going to be interesting.
Click to expand...
Agreed. I want to see some kind of support from the eps
 
Let's also not forget even if it verifies something like tonight's euro run, it's gonna get damn cold. That flow is direct from the Arctic
 
Actually that jet streak is in kilometers I think (kph). Correct me if I'm wrong. Still if it is, that's still something like 170mph
 
Stormsfury said:
Actually that jet streak is in kilometers I think (kph). Correct me if I'm wrong. Still if it is, that's still something like 170mph
Click to expand...

Sheash, why didn't I see that.



Edit: yeah that is correct, it has 200kph at 500mb. I'm sure it's not 200knts
 
Last edited:
tractor girl said:
It's more complicated than that.
Click to expand...
No it’s not. I live far enough north that for most of the winter I’m bug free. My normal temps from December till early March are 45 high and 24 low which will keep the bugs away. But as soon as I have one day in the 60s all kinds of bugs come out. As soon as a cold snap comes they are gone. So my point is it is as simple as no heat no bugs.
 
Bare in mind everyone; that snowfall map from the Euro & the EPS is through day 6. Which means, it already fell. Which means, 3-4 days out for our system.
 
Great Euro run, and we finally see the Euro be the one showing the storm and leading the way instead of the GFS for a change.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top