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Pattern Arid August

After literally weeks of dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s, I just can’t believe how comfortable the last several days have been… especially in the evening. I took my basset hound for a good 2 mile walk this evening and barely broke a sweat. I’m not naive enough to think that heat and humidity won’t be back again this year, but I’m definitely gonna enjoy these nice evenings while they last
 
I like the wording from RAH's discussion last night:

<last paragraph of long range>
"A cooling and drying trend will continue from Tuesday through
Thursday behind a secondary cold front that looks to move through on
Monday night. Surface high pressure will build down from the Great
Lakes and Northeast US as the cold front stalls well to our south.
The mid/upper trough axis will gradually lift NE, favoring height
rises W/NW flow aloft. This will bring below-normal PW values and
help dew points mix out well down into the 60s from Tuesday through
Thursday. In fact, some guidance even shows some 50s dew points on
these days. So largely dry weather and mostly sunny skies are
expected. Highs will drop to upper-70s to lower-80s by Wednesday and
Thursday, with lows in the upper-50s to lower-60s as there should be
decent radiational cooling conditions."
 
FallsLake said:
I like the wording from RAH's discussion last night:

<last paragraph of long range>
"A cooling and drying trend will continue from Tuesday through
Thursday behind a secondary cold front that looks to move through on
Monday night. Surface high pressure will build down from the Great
Lakes and Northeast US as the cold front stalls well to our south.
The mid/upper trough axis will gradually lift NE, favoring height
rises W/NW flow aloft. This will bring below-normal PW values and
help dew points mix out well down into the 60s from Tuesday through
Thursday. In fact, some guidance even shows some 50s dew points on
these days. So largely dry weather and mostly sunny skies are
expected. Highs will drop to upper-70s to lower-80s by Wednesday and
Thursday, with lows in the upper-50s to lower-60s as there should be
decent radiational cooling conditions."
Click to expand...
sounds like a chance to open the windows some overnight
 
Im going to get split by this and end up with like .01


1000002654.png
 
StoneColdHeel said:
Level 2 risk for severe storms tomorrow.

View attachment 150117
Click to expand...
Big dcape day with some loose organization into segments and clusters. We are going to be close to the initiation point so I wouldn't be surprised to see a few wind damage reports as they start ouflowing and moving east. Any tall persistent updraft could produce some decent hail as well but I'm not sure they will be persistent enough to hail locally the better hail threat is across ms/al
 
weatherfide said:
Tempest reports .50" last night but by 10 am this morning everything was dry again. Only have .65" for the month so Arid August is living up to it's name.
Click to expand...
1.25" for the month and day from hell. HI currently 101F.

1723926300112.png
 
There's a really low floor next week if places can go calm a couple of nights. I'm not sold on perfect radiational cooling conditions but if it happens I could see someone sneak in a 48-49 outside of the mountains with at least a lot of 50-55s spread around
 
Still no power and no estimation of return from ga power.
 
So cool to see this from a desktop computer. Power is back on.
 
We got slammed here with the worst storm we have had in 4 years. 50-55mph winds for about 10 minutes and a ton of pea sized hail around 7 tonight. Just got power back at 2:15.
 
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