Yeah, if this keeps up today might get busyLooks like we’re about to start cooking.
Pulling for ya man. Big reason being that I want all the critics silenced in record breaking fashion. I know my area doesn’t have a great chance, but man we need big things to happen so people can relax.View attachment 145521
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Rare to see two runs in a row of the long range GFS spitting out a system nearly at the same time with nearly the same look. Big things are coming.
I think your area has a better chance than usualPulling for ya man. Big reason being that I want all the critics silenced in record breaking fashion. I know my area doesn’t have a great chance, but man we need big things to happen so people can relax.
MA definitely has increased odds of a system for this pattern. Question is can we get y’all to see snow down there. 3.5 here in BBurg this winter. We average 2 feet. Feels like something will give in regards to that and in regards to snowless streaks in the SE.Pulling for ya man. Big reason being that I want all the critics silenced in record breaking fashion. I know my area doesn’t have a great chance, but man we need big things to happen so people can relax.
Party at Luke’s houseView attachment 145521
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Rare to see two runs in a row of the long range GFS spitting out a system nearly at the same time with nearly the same look. Big things are coming.
Different set up though. There's more here over a longer period than what we were looking at for this past Monday but yeah I hear you. Still tempering expectationsWe had a signal for a few days for this past Mondays storm and then it disappeared so I’m gonna temper my expectations for now.
I know a lot of you guys are, but I ain’t a chaser. If it’s not at my house I won’t see it. Congrats to them though. Maybe I’ll move there when I’m older.View attachment 145526Dem mountains sitting pretty ?
That’s the great thing about where you live. You’re never too far from snow.View attachment 145526Dem mountains sitting pretty ?
Unfortunately I won’t be chasing but I do have a trip planned already. Now I just gotta hope it’s timed right or this will be the first year I haven’t seen snow fall from the sky in many yearsI know a lot of you guys are, but I ain’t a chaser. If it’s not at my house I won’t see it. Congrats to them though. Maybe I’ll move there when I’m older.
That does look good, but the GFS is not aligned with the euro and Canadian yet (which they are). Here's day 10 comparisons:View attachment 145521
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Rare to see two runs in a row of the long range GFS spitting out a system nearly at the same time with nearly the same look. Big things are coming.



Euro and Canadian are suppression hell for everyone here geezThat does look good, but the GFS is not aligned with the euro and Canadian yet (which they are). Here's day 10 comparisons:
6z GFS:
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Euro:
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Canadian:
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Hopefully the GFS is on to something and we get it's outcome (...a little suppressed, haha).Euro and Canadian are suppression hell for everyone here geez
You do realize that’s smoothed out ensemble mean at 330 hours out right?3-4° below normal at best for upstate puts us in Low 50s. Call it what you want as for as pattern change, But snow is not happening with these Temps.![]()
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@BradPanovichwow looks like TWC has something for clt
Which is why I follow a lot your prognosis on the micro since you are closer to my proximity, albeit probably a little more Roxborolish up your way.Nothing like having your regions climatology explained to you by someone 300+ miles away
Same here, I'll be on a trip with the family to Seven Devils the 22nd-25th.I’d sacrifice MBY entirely if the mountains in Avery county could get 6-12” around the 22nd
Absolutely , Im just waiting for WOW to show up and do PBP then Ik its serious, Plus WOW is in same townWhich is why I follow a lot your prognosis on the micro since you are closer to my proximity, albeit probably a little more Roxborolish up your way.![]()
Wow, I had no idea about this! Very cool!Atlanta got 1.5” on 4/25/1910 so anything can happen.
Thanks for the updateWe had a signal for a few days for this past Mondays storm and then it disappeared so I’m gonna temper my expectations for now.
No problem I’ll give you some more as the day progressesThanks for the update
Looking forward to itNo problem I’ll give you some more as the day progresses
He’ll give you the “10+ day ain’t happening” spiel
So does that mean it's set in stone and that will Verify?
As long as we're talking in absolutes, and for the record I've seen you share zero data to support any of your wInTer iS oVeR assertions, absodamnlutely.So does that mean it's set in stone and that will Verify?
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And what make you so damn right with what you share????As long as we're talking in absolutes, and for the record I've seen you share zero data to support any of your wInTer iS oVeR assertions, absodamnlutely.
As much as everyone has been dissing on Brad, this is actually a pretty good video by him.
Exactly. Great cast here by him explaining what he sees but a little conflicting with -I don't look past 10days' and then to actually comment about the post 10 day pattern. Should have ben clear there post 10days are not worth looking at whether favorable or unfavorableI will never take away from the fact that he is a fantastic synoptic meteolorgist who is best in the near to mid term. As a matter of fact, I still think he's the best in Charlotte. It's just this one take is really strange coming from him. I dont know why anyone would be talking in absolutes one way or another about something that is still ten to fifteen days away.