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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

metwannabe said:
Some of us saw no snow in January 2023 and I have to go back to January 2022 since my last measurable snow but prior to that I had been spoiled a few years
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I’m just saying I think 2010-2020 might be the most underrated decade we’ve had.
 
metwannabe said:
Some of us saw no snow in January 2023 and I have to go back to January 2022 since my last measurable snow but prior to that I had been spoiled a few years
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I don't remember either of these below...Jan 2018 and Dec 2018 spoiled us for sure. Jan 2018 was the best snow in mby since Jan 2002 or boxing day.

Did you really get 4-5" in Jan 2021?

january_21-22_2022_nc_snowmap.jpgjanuary_27-28_2021_nc_snowmap3.jpg
 
BullCityWx said:
Did we not just have a January where it snowed three weekends in a row? Did we not just have a pretty damn good run from 2015-2019? Yall acting like it ain’t snowed since Reagan was president.
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Well this is the whamby thread so that was pretty much the point of my post. However, i am afraid your post is a very NC centric post. Only a select few got in on the 3 weekends in a row, most only saw snow one of those. I was fortunate to see a good one in Jan of 22 but most of the board is seeing a significant deficit over the past ... however many years.

We're just being a bit hyperbolic in the whamby thread, that's what its for.
 
Stevo24 said:
I bet the end of Jan and Early Feb doesn’t produce either. Just the times we live in now.
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Well you'd be hard pressed to find someone more negative than me when it comes to snowfall on here. That tends to happen the older you get and the longer you live in SC. But even I have to say getting blanked 2 years in a row, especially over such a large area as last year, it's unlikely that happens again. It would not surprise me at all if I20 south zeros out. But up this way I doubt it. Now it wouldn't surprise me if we end up with 50% of average and everyone is still mad because of the expectations and hype. But it also wouldn't surprise me if we get almost 200% of average either. Keep in mind the difference between 50% of average and 200% of average is only a whopping 6 inches. I would bet a large amount though that GSP's 31 year streak of winters without a double digit season lives on still after this winter.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Some real babies in here. Wahhh it hasn’t snowed, and it won’t again, even though we pulled a mini March 1960 January weekend version 2 years ago with 3 weekend snow events in a row, it’s gonna snow again soon crybabies
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some people have not seen snow in 5 years or even longer !
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
Well you'd be hard pressed to find someone more negative than me when it comes to snowfall on here. That tends to happen the older you get and the longer you live in SC. But even I have to say getting blanked 2 years in a row, especially over such a large area as last year, it's unlikely that happens again. It would not surprise me at all if I20 south zeros out. But up this way I doubt it. Now it wouldn't surprise me if we end up with 50% of average and everyone is still mad because of the expectations and hype. But it also wouldn't surprise me if we get almost 200% of average either. Keep in mind the difference between 50% of average and 200% of average is only a whopping 6 inches. I would bet a large amount though that GSP's 31 year streak of winters without a double digit season lives on still after this winter.
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If the GEPS/EPS is currently right for mid-month, I think we do quite well. Question is IF...
 
KyloG said:
Pattern of the decade showing up. ?

I have leftover shovels from the pattern of the decade we are getting now. ?

View attachment 139786
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Seriously though I'm not going to complain but this seems early and I'm nervous about getting head faked then having to go back and do it again in about 7-10days
 
KyloG said:
I didn't realize the snow drought for NY was this bad...when the dam busts though.

View attachment 139665
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I think NYC only got 2.5 inches of snow last winter. I went back through 1960 and didn’t see any year that low for the city. Not sure how accurate the site was but most of their snowless winters were 5-7 inches still.
 
SD said:
Seriously though I'm not going to complain but this seems early and I'm nervous about getting head faked then having to go back and do it again in about 7-10days
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In all seriousness…I would be stunned if a large portion of the SE doesn’t see atleast a couple of moderate events after Jan 20th. Might be foolish to believe that but that’s my thoughts.

Yeah, maybe we get missed. ?‍♂️
 
KyloG said:
In all seriousness…I would be stunned if a large portion of the SE doesn’t see atleast a couple of moderate events after Jan 20th. Might be foolish to believe that but that’s my thoughts.

Yeah, maybe we get missed. ?‍♂️
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Agreed. I hope the geps and eps are right in rapidly moving things along but if not it'll still come. I'm not sure the pac has the ability to do it but 2nd half of Jan and Feb 2015 evolution isn't impossible
 
KyloG said:
In all seriousness…I would be stunned if a large portion of the SE doesn’t see atleast a couple of moderate events after Jan 20th. Might be foolish to believe that but that’s my thoughts.

Yeah, maybe we get missed. ?‍♂️
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North of I-20 maybe. The rest of the south will need a miracle which is the case in almost every winter.
 
So about that sneaky little system tomorrow.

Y'all know the drill.

1) Watch temps tonight and report back when your backyard has dropped below forecast.
2) Look for that thickening cloud cover to beat the midday sun.
3) Watch the radar and look up every few minutes to confirm it's still virga.
4) When all of the above fails, check the 384-hour GFS.

This is my mission.
 
114

The falloff needs to be studied
 
metwannabe said:
Some of us saw no snow in January 2023 and I have to go back to January 2022 since my last measurable snow but prior to that I had been spoiled a few years
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I have to go all the way back to January 2018 when I last saw 1 inch or more of snowfall in a single winter storm/winter season. It’s been mostly dusting/trace events from 2019-2023. If this El Niño winter was anything like 2009/10 I would be hyped about January-March because I know we’ll be guaranteed 1 good board wide winter storm. I’m still cautiously optimistic, but I would be lyin’ if I said I don’t feel a slight bit of pessimism after 5yrs of disappointments.
 
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