You’re in Myrtle Beach though… the average high there is in the 70s for most of the month
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Pattern October 2023 Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
STJ getting hotCMC has it too. haha
That's typically always the case in the Southeast this time of the year though. Heck, that's normally the case anytime of the year in the South.
NoSnowATL
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W
WSW
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Well, temporarily in Florida rn. But yeah, I think the averages are 76/54 in Myrtle. Hoping to sell properties and move back further North though.
Jet extending into the sweet spot on the euro. Right into Hawaii 
Very interesting to see what's on the backside of the initial trough. If the pac jet doesn't accelerate and extend to break down the western ridge it'll be easy to go right into more of a classic cold season nino look with a split flow off of the west coast, jet undercutting the ridge across the southern US and the northern jet rounding the top of the ridge and diving into the eastern US. If we extend the jet it'll be easy to go warm but we could clog up the north Atlantic and try to get into a ugly -nao/-pna couple. Good times
Day 10 dew points on the 12z GFS would suggest a chance of our first frost. The forecasted 2m temps are showing ~15 degrees warmer, but I bet if these dew points verify those surface temps will be lower. Still far out but something to watch.
Day 10 dew points:
Day 10 dew points:
You love to see it
You LOVE to see it
You LOVE to see it
accu35
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I’m hoping this fall/winter will turn out better than last. Nice image above ?
Downeastnc
Member
I would say that its almost impossible for this winter to not be better than last winter since last winter never really happened.....but we all know that it certainly can be worse.
I believe a pattern change is definitely coming. My bees have been pretty much been pretty calm for the past few weeks with all the wild flowers blooming. This morning they are different, much more vigor and I was just chased out of the bee yard. I thought it was a robbing situation, but I’m not seeing that fight, just very anxious, aggressive work while bringing in a ton of pollen.
Brent
Member
Winter is coming
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The Euro, yep it’s coming.
GoDuke
Member
ATLwxfan
Member
Last night’s Euro wasn’t all that cold for all too long before the ridge is back but better than nothing I guess. Not great trends for cold but good trends for nice weather.
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Yeah I think the looks have been that this is a fairly quick little cool spell.
HugeSnowStick
Member
Really tired of 85 degrees.
Brent
Member
Id take 85 at this rate
Although the end is near... I think... next weekend may struggle to 70. We're really close to going straight to winter if we drag this out much longer
It’s the GFS, but that look is dangerously close to our first frost around day 8 in the colder spots of AL and GA.
Itryatgolf
Member
Just trending towards the euro bc it was pretty cool at 12z
Nomanslandva
Member
Watering grass in Oct sucks. Front next weekend is the only chance for the next 10 days than that setup often jumps my back yard with down sloping and lee trough. Jeeze.
Yessir
Heelyes
Member
Woke up to a beautiful 50 degrees this morning
The 12z GFS continues the look. Here are the midafternoon surface temps on Sunday:
Dew points at the same time:
This would be the first of those great SE fall days, where you hunt out sunny spots because it's too cool in the shade.
W
WSW
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Yep. Perfect Fall weather. I remember days like this at home. Low 50's some sun, but mostly clouds. Nice.
Iceagewhereartthou
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It is too warm and a bit muggy right now for my Fall taste. I cannot wait for this front! ??
Oconeexman
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Agree with you 100%
Sunday will feel amazing. GFS and CMC agree on temps in low to mid 40's around the upstate and some 30's in the mountains.
Hmmmm 
NoSnowATL
Member
Might need to water the grass with that look.
That or put some clothes on it!
Brent
Member
Still nearly 90 here today but wow. We haven't even had a low much below 60 yet
W
WSW
Guest
Now that's more like it.
NoSnowATL
Member
tanning lotion for my area.
NoSnowATL
Member
Must be nice to get true cold fronts.
Itryatgolf
Member
If the euro is to be believed, we won't get out of the 60s for highs for three days straight?
My sister lives down in Orlando. So far summer has held on strong up to this point. But it looks like a "real" cold front (FALL!!) is coming for this weekend.
18z GFS surface temps at midafternoon Sunday:
Dew points for the same time:
tractor girl
Member
NCSNOW
Member
Im with you. Trying to beat the frost after having to wait forever for hot wx grass to call it quits. Small window for the ole rye grass to get going this year. Plenty of money lying around for the water bill, with Gas and Food so cheap LOL. Priorities!