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Misc Winter 22-23 Whamby and Banter Thread Part 2

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Darklordsuperstorm said:
What a lovely April we have been having this January.
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Yep. Here is GSP so far; only 2 days below average; and only by 6 and 3 deg. Only 1 day with a sub 50 high! This is about as pathetic as it gets for Jan

DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR
================================================================================

1 59 47 53 10 12 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.8 10 220 M M 8 12 12 220
2 72 48 60 17 5 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.4 16 230 M M 8 12 20 230
3 63 50 57 15 8 0 0.91 0.0 0 7.0 16 200 M M 8 123 21 200
4 64 51 58 16 7 0 2.74 0.0 0 8.6 18 200 M M 9 13 22 210
5 64 39 52 10 13 0 0.00 0.0 0 10.5 21 240 M M 0 27 270
6 58 33 46 4 19 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.6 13 250 M M 0 18 290
7 55 36 46 4 19 0 T 0.0 0 1.8 10 220 M M 5 11 240
8 51 43 47 5 18 0 0.29 0.0 0 5.0 10 50 M M 9 1 13 50
9 54 34 44 2 21 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.9 18 360 M M 4 12 30 360
10 60 30 45 3 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.5 13 200 M M 0 17 210
11 58 35 47 5 18 0 T 0.0 0 1.6 7 160 M M 5 10 190
12 67 48 58 16 7 0 0.64 T 0 6.4 31 190 M M 8 12358 39 180
13 53 37 45 3 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 9.2 20 340 M M 4 18 31 350
14 44 28 36 -6 29 0 0.00 0.0 0 8.8 16 320 M M 1 28 340
15 57 21 39 -3 26 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.8 13 270 M M 0 16 250
16 57 27 42 0 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.0 10 240 M M 0 14 230
17 54 43 49 7 16 0 0.48 0.0 0 8.6 16 240 M M 9 1 19 230
18 64 47 56 14 9 0 T 0.0 0 5.5 12 210 M M 7 12 15 200
19 68 56 62 20 3
 
RollTide18 said:
Gotta be one of the worst winters since 11-12 down this way, even the years where we didn’t have snow, it still felt like winter. Outside of the arctic blast last month, it’s felt more like late October this winter.
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This one is still better than 11-12 for me. I've seen flurries/sleet twice. It passes with a C - so far. I've been impressed with the weather modeling this season. Very good up to 144 hours. You're pretty much going to see no major changes once inside 144 hours. I think this is a remarkable improvement over past years.
 
Spring is almost upon us. It is starting to slowly get warmer which means that grass will start growing. Soon enough you will be getting your mower out for inspection before mowing. Here are some key maintenance checks and tips before the mowing season starts.

  1. Check the Oil
    Your lawn mower’s oil is one of the most critical engine maintenance checks. Monitor your oil level in your mower every mowing season. If the oil has debris in it or is starting to look black, it means it is time to change the oil. For best results, it is recommended to change the oil before the mowing season starts each year or check your owner’s manual for hour oil change intervals.
  2. Check the Oil Filter
    Another key check is the oil filter. The oil filter keeps debris and large particles out of your oil. It is best to change your oil filter once per mowing season or as often as your owner’s manual recommends. If you are changing the oil, you should also replace the oil filter the same time.
  3. Check the Fuel Filter
    Your fuel filter keeps your carburetor free from foreign particles that may clog it. If it is not changed in the correct intervals, your mower may stall out or be hard to start. It is best to change your fuel filter at the beginning of each mowing season or at the intervals listed in your owner’s manual.
  4. Check the Air Filter
    Air filters keep a mower operating at best performance. When an air filter gets dirty or clogged, it puts more stress on the engine causing it to burn more gas. A clean air filter allows the engine to run cooler and last longer. This should be changed on your mower every year or recommended by your operator’s manual
  5. How is the Spark Plug?
    Is your mower hard to start or does it die out? There is a good chance it is a bad spark plug. Changing your spark plug every year will ensure an easy start.
  6. Clean Under the Mower Deck
    As you mow, especially in wet conditions, grass clippings can get stuck in your mower deck. This can rust your deck or clog the discharge chute over time if not cleaned. If you didn’t clean the inside of your mower deck before storing it for winter, you should do this now before mowing for each season.
  7. Inspect Your Mower Blades
    Inspect your mower blades before the mowing season starts. Check to see if dents or chips are present or if the blade looks bent. If so, it is best to replace the blade. If your mower has mower than one blade, you should replace all the blades at once to have consistent wear across all the blades.
 
rburrel2 said:
Closer in time compared to the 372hr torch map he posted, no?
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op fantasy storms are dead. It’s Feb in a week and a half and still nothing yet this winter. We have a -3 to -4 sigma -PNA coming. It makes sense why everyone is depressed, it’s been a garbage winter and we have a mid-ass pattern coming up. I don’t recall a strong -PNA in the last decade giving us a significant snow. I’m just looking at the realistic picture
 
The -PNA signal definitely sucks. It carries more weight than any other indicator for us, imo.

But either way it looks like we'll have arctic air just to our north in the 8-14 day timeframe and Ensembles show a decent sized window for CAD storms utilizing that cold source region if things line up right. There is at least some hope. I'll continue to watch for now.Screen Shot 2023-01-20 at 1.18.15 PM.pngScreen Shot 2023-01-20 at 1.19.04 PM.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
There’s stages to the denial process
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Denial and bargaining are the shortest stages for me when it comes to snow here. There usually is no denying the inevitable and no bargaining with weather. I'm in anger now, hence my post lately. I'll skip depression and move on to acceptance soon because it's not worth getting depressed over lol
 
240hr Euro is setting up for a Wedge event in the 280-300 hr time frame, imo. Doesn't mean anything, but it adds support to the GFS/GEFS showing the potential for a CAD setup of some sort. Would like to see the EPS trend that way.


Screen Shot 2023-01-20 at 2.03.56 PM.pngScreen Shot 2023-01-20 at 2.03.35 PM.png
 
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