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Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

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Guys, CAD always trends stronger as we get closer ?
CMC is best model with thermal profiles, so when it’s the only only model showing mid 20s 2 meter temps, go with it! It’s numero uno
 
I bow down to the master! ???⛄A44B6112-53EF-429E-8479-B4FE6B49279C.png
 
Booo m
No more of that less than an inch crap! 6EF11B67-B0A9-4E23-A472-04225C1ADADA.png
 
How did I miss this GFS run yesterday?

gfs-deterministic-carolinas-total_snow_10to1-8870000-png.123815
 
I’d rather it look like this in December instead of January.
I would be surprised if we have another warm December. I'm hoping for at least some cold by Christmas if for any reason it does get warm.
 
I would be surprised if we have another warm December. I'm hoping for at least some cold by Christmas if for any reason it does get warm.

The first week or so of December will most likely be above average. After that is a toss up. But leaning towards cooler than average


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What’s everyone’s thoughts on when we could be legitimately watching/tracking our first winter big winter event? I’d like to imagine late December I am getting ready for Christmas but also seeing fantasy storms for beginning of January.
 
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