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Pattern July '22

SD said:
View attachment 119887

Now you need to put some stripes in it
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I'm enjoying it right now. That may be the best my yard has ever looked haha. We started paying a guy to come spray every 3 months because the weeds were so bad this year. Between his weed killer and fertilizing the bermuda and centipede has really taken off.
 
3.47 so far for July more than doubling my June rainfall. I'm guessing the Tempest is accurate, I know we've had several very good rains so I think it's pretty close but got tbh had to dig a post hole yesterday afternoon and at about 24" the dirt was moist but not wet. That was in the lower part of my property too not too far from a little brook (that has dried up this summer), just goes to show how much the water levels had dropped.
 
metwannabe said:
3.47 so far for July more than doubling my June rainfall. I'm guessing the Tempest is accurate, I know we've had several very good rains so I think it's pretty close but got tbh had to dig a post hole yesterday afternoon and at about 24" the dirt was moist but not wet. That was in the lower part of my property too not too far from a little brook (that has dried up this summer), just goes to show how much the water levels had dropped.
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The precipitation map on the NWS for the last 14 days only shows 2-3" in this area so now I'm not so sure....
 
113 is the record from 1980

So far the long range heat has been overdone on the models but we'll see. The TWC app only gets to 105 in that timeframe down there which is no hotter than it has been already
 
StormDrain said:
Don't worry...what GFS (presumably what you're looking at?) shows is usually complete bollocks more than a week out (i.e. it has a warm bias and "experiments" with potential patterns).
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Ventusky is a weather app (not a model) that shows long range forecasts. Not entirely sure how it comes up with those forecasts though.

However, even if you shave 10 degrees off, that would still be near the all-time record high.
 
NorthDFWwx said:
Ventusky is a weather app (not a model) that shows long range forecasts. Not entirely sure how it comes up with those forecasts though.

However, even if you shave 10 degrees off, that would still be near the all-time record high.
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Ventusky has a weather model selection for regional and global models, probably automatically selected GFS 12-13 days out.
 
As of today, DFW has reached its average number of 100°F+ days in a year (20).

Current projections are we should end up solidly above that number.
 
NoSnowATL said:
80% of the time it works every time.
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Yep. Forecast yesterday was for widespread 2-3 across the area thru Friday. Probably won't get a drop since I missed today. Now the front looks to clear the area and stall south of here. Just shows the models are just as horrible in the summer as they are in winter, we just don't pay as much attention in summer.
 
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