I’ll take a zonal flow and run like I stole something.
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And if you take the GFS as truth, the next time the ridge comes back it's not even going to mean 80s in the se.
(Of course I won't but still)
I’ll take a zonal flow and run like I stole something.
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Well, right now I'm slapping mosquitoes again so it needs to get on in here, lol. But it's worth it because they turned on the technology in my yard last night. Suddenly everything started blazing over night. Everywhere I look in the yard is some amazing color, and some trees have never been so radiant. It's the vines and the scrubs, the big trees and small trees, even the ornamental grasses have all started shouting really loudly. Never seen it do this.... like turning on a light switch to everything at the same time. It seems binging and purging with water and cold stimulated amazing displays. Drought, then 5 inchs from a hurricane, then bone dry and another 5 inches from a hurricane. Then go from summer to wood stove and back to summer, and bingo bring on the acid, lol. Amazing. T
Whatever you do, avoid the brown stuff, Tony ... LOL ...Well, right now I'm slapping mosquitoes again so it needs to get on in here, lol. But it's worth it because they turned on the technology in my yard last night. Suddenly everything started blazing over night. Everywhere I look in the yard is some amazing color, and some trees have never been so radiant. It's the vines and the scrubs, the big trees and small trees, even the ornamental grasses have all started shouting really loudly. Never seen it do this.... like turning on a light switch to everything at the same time. It seems binging and purging with water and cold stimulated amazing displays. Drought, then 5 inchs from a hurricane, then bone dry and another 5 inches from a hurricane. Then go from summer to wood stove and back to summer, and bingo bring on the acid, lol. Amazing. T
The colors have really started to pop around here! Kickstarted by some cooler nighttime temps! They are delayed by about a week or two, but color is very vivid! I've heard dry weather makes the colors brighter, so my back yard has been very dry the last few months.Tony, I think it is due to going from one extreme of a very warm 1st 3 weeks of Oct to the other extreme of a very cool last week of Oct. Consistent lows in the 40s and 30s will always get the colors going soon after an extended warm period. And these sudden transitions often lead to the prettiest fall leaves. Enjoy it!
Anyone else have any current reports about the autumn leaves?
Meanwhile, ever since my last post on Friday, the GFS runs have obviously warmed back up considerably for the SE US to about normal for the days following when the torch ends (still around 11/8) averaged out. However, it is still quite cold in much of the Midwest as well as in much of the NE US a few days later. And at least the torch is still projected to end. Near normal late fall wx is just fine with me. It is fantastic for walking. We're no longer in summer when near normal is uncomfortable. Furthermore, those wanting it cold in W Canada to build up their snowpack
still have that to be happy about. It stays cold there for the next 2 weeks!
Take it then not going do anybody much good ...upper air pattern supports a se ridge to me ... matter time
No visits to the trip tent here, Phil But like Larry says I need to enjoy it. The leaves are about ready to let go with one good wind, and rain is coming, and wind behind it, I'm sure. I'll be glad when the acorns stop falling. It's bang, bang, bang all day and night, hitting the roofs, and the black walnuts are a menace there are so many this year. TWhatever you do, avoid the brown stuff, Tony ... LOL ...
38 for RAH Saturday morning!As Webb is showing, the 12Z Euro is colder than the 0Z Euro. It suggests that there could be a very nice and early cold rain next Sunday all of the way back to Atlanta thanks to a very nice wedge. That would make a lot of SE CAD area folks happy.
There's been a lot of back and forth on the Euro and also the 12Z GFS. So, there's lots of uncertainty to say the least about how cold it will get this weekend as well as to the potential wedged precip event.
Prior to the potential wedged precip event, check out the huge contrasts between the 12Z models for Sat AM lows at RDU. The 12Z CMC, which I usually ignore due to it not being a good model overall, is ridiculously cold ~24 and I think too cold. The 12Z Euro is in the middle at around 31. The 12Z GFS is much warmer at 50!
Anyone want to guess this Saturday's RDU low?
Edit: Tony, the hickory nut falls here at this time of year are loud and probably not roof friendly.
As Webb is showing, the 12Z Euro is colder than the 0Z Euro. It suggests that there could be a very nice and early cold rain next Sunday all of the way back to Atlanta thanks to a very nice wedge. That would make a lot of SE CAD area folks happy.
There's been a lot of back and forth on the Euro and also the 12Z GFS. So, there's lots of uncertainty to say the least about how cold it will get this weekend as well as to the potential wedged precip event.
Prior to the potential wedged precip event, check out the huge contrasts between the 12Z models for Sat AM lows at RDU. The 12Z CMC, which I usually ignore due to it not being a good model overall, is ridiculously cold ~24 and I think too cold. The 12Z Euro is in the middle at around 31. The 12Z GFS is much warmer at 50!
Anyone want to guess this Saturday's RDU low?
Edit: Tony, the hickory nut falls here at this time of year are loud and probably not roof friendly.
That set up looks odd. Asheville does not usually get ZR from a wedge set up. That looks like a typical temp map on a cold day, with highest elevations are coldest . I've seen mid 20s in GSP and Athens , with 50s in AVL. Just saying that doesn't look like a typical wedge.Well, the EPS number of members w/ <32F next weekend over the CAD regions more than doubled vs the last run, and verbatim, the ensemble is hinting at some freezing rain along/NW of I-40 from Greensboro to Asheville & Hendersonville...
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That set up looks odd. Asheville does not usually get ZR from a wedge set up. That looks like a typical temp map on a cold day, with highest elevations are coldest . I've seen mid 20s in GSP and Athens , with 50s in AVL. Just saying that doesn't look like a typical wedge.
Doesnt get much more classic than this...There's nothing terribly unusual about this at all, it's a pretty normal hybrid in-situ-classical CAD wedge on the Euro & its ensemble suite.
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