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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

Word on the block is El Chapo may come to the tarheel state too. Stg bruh , we got the coolest people in our max prison ! Ted , Bernie ( dead ) , tiger king , and maybe el chapo soon? I want to go interview em all! There’s a bunch of other low profile individuals too who did some high profile ---- ( 9/11 terrorists ) in there too.
 
Clem282340 said:
Is he saying that the gfs and all the other weather model wrong about the warmup going into January
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I think he is saying his belief is that it’s already in 8 now so the cold runs should be starting soon if that’s the case. I think he is on a island with that belief but I hope he is right.
 
NoSnowATL said:
I think he is saying his belief is that it’s already in 8 now so the cold runs should be starting soon if that’s the case. I think he is on a island with that belief but I hope he is right.
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Even if he is wrong I don’t think we torch in Jan. Hell the torch in December was over done in some areas.
 
NoSnowATL said:
Even if he is wrong I don’t think we torch in Jan. Hell the torch in December was over done in some areas.
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It is weird do sit in one phase for so long if he is wrong. I just want to see the PNA go positive, that seems impossible at this point.

Getting it to -1 would be a miracle.

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NoSnowATL said:
I think he is saying his belief is that it’s already in 8 now so the cold runs should be starting soon if that’s the case. I think he is on a island with that belief but I hope he is right.
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If we're in phase 8 already, then it's obviously not helping us. And if that's the case, why do we even give a crap about the mjo? I'm thinking they're full of malarkey.
 
Rain Cold said:
If we're in phase 8 already, then it's obviously not helping us. And if that's the case, why do we even give a crap about the mjo? I'm thinking they're full of malarkey.
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Yea I don’t think we are in 8 yet. I do think we go into 8 but that doesn’t mean snowstorm. I’m a COD kinda guy myself.
 
Well after a break for the last day I might as well come back. If I'm going to be mad about the weather I may as well come on here and do it with like minded people.

Will we ever get a pattern and enough cold to produce snow? Who knows anymore? You would think with all the available cold and the MJO stuck in phase 7 (which is good in a Jan La Nina) and the likelihood it does eventually get to 8 that we at least would have a brief window. But this is the SE and we constantly find different ways to fail. So it wouldn't surprise me at all if the real cold never gets here and this is another year of just token flakes and maybe at some point a dusting to an inch that melts in 2 hours. Or a complete shutout in mby wouldn't surprise me at all either the way things have been the last 3 years.
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
Well after a break for the last day I might as well come back. If I'm going to be mad about the weather I may as well come on here and do it with like minded people.

Will we ever get a pattern and enough cold to produce snow? Who knows anymore? You would think with all the available cold and the MJO stuck in phase 7 (which is good in a Jan La Nina) and the likelihood it does eventually get to 8 that we at least would have a brief window. But this is the SE and we constantly find different ways to fail. So it wouldn't surprise me at all if the real cold never gets here and this is another year of just token flakes and maybe at some point a dusting to an inch that melts in 2 hours. Or a complete shutout in mby wouldn't surprise me at all either the way things have been the last 3 years.
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Well, good patterns just don't produce the way they used to.

Oh wait, my bad, that's not my line.
 
Ollie Williams said:
Yay!
View attachment 97722
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Rain Cold said:
Pattern change! Well, the model is either wrong and we keep the big Aleutian ridge, OR we go to either a GOA low with a raging Pac jet and say bye bye to all the cold air in Canada or watch that low retrograde to the Aleutians and pump up a western ridge. My guess is the latter, based on the alleged MJO propagation and the fact that the model seems to be moving that way, if you play the animation. It fits with the timing of when a better pattern should theoretically start to emerge. Clock is ticking. 2 weeks.

View attachment 98794
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I got $10 bucks we rage the Pac Jet and wash Canada of all it's cold air and go Zonal.
 
The gymnastics this year with the indices are significantly worse than the actual weather. I think there are just too many people talking about things they don't fully understand. Most here know what a good look is when we see it, why the need to associate a 3 letter index to it?
 
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