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Pattern Novemburrr

500hv.conus.png


Pretty spicy meatball right there
 
26.8 currently and I picked up .48" of rain yesterday morning. For all the ATL talk I can confirm that it was below freezing inside the perimeter. My family is sick so I rode down to the office early this morning to get my computer and it was 31 on the car thermometer with heavy frost on the office yard. The grass was quite crunchy.
 
26.8 currently and I picked up .48" of rain yesterday morning. For all the ATL talk I can confirm that it was below freezing inside the perimeter. My family is sick so I rode down to the office early this morning to get my computer and it was 31 on the car thermometer with heavy frost on the office yard. The grass was quite crunchy.
Hartsfield even hit 32. 28 IMBY
 
Euro is still inching SWtrend-ecmwf_full-2021112300-f150.500hv.conus.gif

But with the low at 850/700 initially to our N we get into a mid level waa pattern so anything that falls during the day Sunday would be rain.
850th.us_ma (5).png
But as the low starts to redevelop off of the nc coast CAA takes over and the column crashes
850th.us_ma (6).png


the question then becomes is there any moisture available to help erode the warm in the 925 to sfc layers which are still warm as CAA is slower weaker in these levels

925th.us_ma (1).png

700rh.us_ma (4).png
850rh.us_ma (2).png

The slightly banded/convective look makes it seem like it wouldn't be impossible to get a few flakes
prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ma (1) (1).png

All of this though presumes the euro is correct. My concern is we see the euro start inching NE in time. We will see
 
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