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Pattern Novemburrr

Webberweather53 said:
Pretty classic Siberian Express pattern on the 12z GEFS w/ a ridge over the Bering Strait & Chukchi Sea (-WPO). Totally up in the air where all this cold air in NW Canada & Alaska eventually ends up by Thanksgiving

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Probably gets dumped out west and when it does, keep the gloating to a minimum and I'll keep the index finger off the ban button ?
 
SD said:
And to think people prefer ninos over sitting on pins and needles during ninas wondering whether or not we can mute the SER and get the cold in
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Have to agree w/ your general sentiment here. This modeled pattern is teetering on the edge between major failure & pants explosion. What you really need is an aptly timed thin/tall ridge along the west coast/+PNA; it's not uncommon to see NWP models never see these coming until you're inside the medium range. Too much GOA/AK trough (which suppresses the SE US ridge) & all the cold air will remain in the NW Territories + Alaska.
 
Webberweather53 said:
I honestly can't think of too many times I've seen a cut-off blocking high being explicitly forecast on an ensemble mean at day 10.

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EPS also is explicitly forecasting a cut-off blocking high near the Bering Straits around day 9-10. Pretty remarkable for both ensembles to pick this up so early

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Webberweather53 said:
If we can amp the waves & shorten the wavelengths a little in the N Pacific/shift the west coast ridge a little more west, this is great pattern for me to get snow.

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I bet everyone that reads this is on-board until the last few words of this post
 
Webberweather53 said:
If we can amp the waves & shorten the wavelengths a little in the N Pacific/shift the west coast ridge a little more west, this is great pattern for me to get snow.

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Here let me try…
If we can get a little less amped waves and lengthen the wavelengths a bit in the N pacific as well as shift that ridge a bit east on the west coast this would be a good way to get some snow in the SE

Wow that was fun
 
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