not much to add, IR supports Cat 4, 945ish and still not done
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Tropical Hurricane Ida
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
not much to add, IR supports Cat 4, 945ish and still not done
Honestly, the loop current is not as big of a deal as usual. The shelf water and even the marshes are toasty and with the forward speed of Ida, she has the fuel to fire on all cylinders right up until marsh-fall.
Shaggy
Member
This next recon is gonna be big. Is she leveling off or do we see another 10mb+ drop. If it's the latter then she will make a run at cat 5 I think.
There are no signs of leveling off that I can see. If anything, Ida looks even more impressive. I doubted Ida would ever make it to a car 4. I was very, very wrong.
snowlover91
Member
Warmest waters are ahead. TCHP drops off but that shouldn’t matter at this stage and there is plenty of it still.
Attachments
Exactly. Those THCP maps can be very misleading for storms in this region at this time of year while moving along at 15mph.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Already pushing 130 kt inbounds on the Slidell radar.
OK. This latest NNW wobble can stop now.
NEW STEERING MAPS ARE IN... THE FIRST ONE IS THE 0300UTC AND THE SECOND IS THE 0600UTC
NOTICE THE ORIENTATION OF THE RIDGE ON THE 0600UTC MAP COMPARED TO THE 0300UTC
NOTICE THE ORIENTATION OF THE RIDGE ON THE 0600UTC MAP COMPARED TO THE 0300UTC
Brent
Member
Recon turned around again... I swear...
They went back home again?
SAID NOT NO BUT HELL NO
Yeah, I'm not liking that. I'm not sure if you use this site too, but this latest NNW movment has been rather persistent and I can't help but notice what looks like a bit of a slowdown in forward speed too. They always slow before they turn.
I'm trying to recall such trouble with getting recon into a storm when it is literally bombing out approaching 12 hours from the coast.
It's bordering on ridiculous at this point.
What a shame.
With the surprises coming at the tail of the last pass, we're just sitting on our butts and waiting.
FROM WHAT IM SEEING AF302 IS HEADED BACK IN TO IDA AT THIS TIME
NOAA3 IS OUT THERE DOING SOMETHING AS WELL
NOAA3 IS OUT THERE DOING SOMETHING AS WELL
Shaggy
Member
Lots of hospitals with lots of people in ICU with covid. Hope they keep their generators operatio al who we could see a tragedy on our hands.
Most hospitals have redundant generators. IDK about New Orleans tho.
I think Ida has 1 more run here to try and get to maybe a cat 5.......Recon will be telling in a few..
WELL AF302 HAS WENT BACK TO LAND
Just saw where AF HH are experiencing mechanical issue will be a few hours getting back out
BHS1975
Member
Radar showing mesovorticies around the eye.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
While we wait for a plane to kick the tires and light the fires, radar clearly shows a healthy and contracting eye.
ANOTHER BIG NORTH JUMP MADE ON VISIBLE IR
140MPH SUSTAINED NOW!!!!!!!!!
Cindy131
Member
Looks like there is an Air Force plane heading back out from Texas.
NOAA is about to punch through here soon.
Shaggy
Member
Going to be interesting fixes next time the planes go through. Have we continued the rapid drops in pressure or not? Satellite would make the argument we will have the chance at sub 940mb
Nerman
Member
Surprised at the 140mph. I was expecting 130mph. Ida has been moving at a brisk pace and I'm doubtful there is enough time to get to a Cat 5. We'll see though. Historic storm regardless.
Shaggy
Member
If I'm reading it right the pressure was 950 on this pass.
That's what I'm seeing too. 105kt SMFR in the SE quad isn't too shabby for a 950mB storm. Recon isn't messing around, they're going right for the NE quad.
Shaggy
Member
Yeah but that's up almost 7mb from the earlier 943 they found. With no change in radar or IR it makes me wonder why the bounce back up in pressure.
947mB Different section of the eye I presume. Still some mighty impressive winds. It may have peaked?
Shaggy
Member
120kt lowest 150M so she is still cat 4 for sure but looks like she may have peaked.
Nerman
Member
I wasn't sure if the earlier reading was accurate. Never seen a drop that significant that fast before. I think what we are seeing now makes sense.
I think she has peaked as well. Should maintain or maybe bounce back a little more strength on the way in.