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May 2021 Discussion Thread

BHS1975 said:
Firing up in NE Wake.


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Indeed .. I’m seeing a little outflow signal to the north east moving south west ... if you look closely you should be able to see it .. it’s not clear like they usually are but it’s there and I’m assuming when it gets over that activity to the south west .. things could blow up a bit more .. for now we watch and see ?BF8BE73B-128A-4E2B-BFB8-A1B011987746.gif
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Indeed .. I’m seeing a little outflow signal to the north east moving south west ... if you look closely you should be able to see it .. it’s not clear like they usually are but it’s there and I’m assuming when it gets over that activity to the south west .. things could blow up a bit more .. for now we watch and see ?View attachment 84293
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Gl, it’s raining a bit here . Here’s to more .
 
Stump said:
IMBY we have not seen rain for almost two months. Storms, showers and everything has gone around. Might be driest place in JoCo. Grass is dead, so is everything else.
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Didn't I see that JoCo already dealing with water shortage?
 
SD said:
That's terrible. Amazing how the models have gone from widespread decent rains to almost nada. This sucks
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That trough that has trended to cooling us off has now trend is to cool and dry, we suck
Oh and that circular OFB on Raleighs radar looks cool asf
 
Second day in a row with a new yearly high, but still stopped just short of 90. Got as high as 89.6. Also running on 12 straight days without a drop of rain.
 
Meh, I am not quite sure I am sold on these most recent model runs. They went from deluge to drought in 24 hours. Reminds me of winter and how poorly models performed. Plus, they didn't even get temps right for this week. They also didn't really pick up on todays and tomorrow rain chances- yes they are small but still there. I am going to wait some more cycles before I start touting the word drought.
 
ryan1234 said:
Meh, I am not quite sure I am sold on these most recent model runs. They went from deluge to drought in 24 hours. Reminds me of winter and how poorly models performed. Plus, they didn't even get temps right for this week. They also didn't really pick up on todays and tomorrow rain chances- yes they are small but still there. I am going to wait some more cycles before I start touting the word drought.
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Yeah, I’m not really sure you can really put much stock into the precip output on globals this time of the year. We know that most of our precip for the next couple of months will come from convection firing up, and where that gets concentrated day to day is simply something we have to wait and see on short term models. Overall the pattern the next couple weeks looks good to see afternoon storm chances.
 
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