Pretty chilly Euro/EPS run. Wasn't the far from some late season 30s
Bet we somehow get 70s/50s and with perhaps low 40s, models have been either to happy on intense heat, or anomalous coldPretty chilly Euro/EPS run. Wasn't the far from some late season 30s
Most likely nothing in the extended has been reliable. Do you have the Euro AAM from 12z today?Bet we somehow get 70s/50s and with perhaps low 40s, models have been either to happy on intense heat, or anomalous cold
Prove it , there’s plenty of data out there please prove it ! This is a forum , we are weather enthusiasts I think we can afford to be scrupulous and provide evidence for our claims !Long lasting warmth should start late April early may ... always has really this year has had some notable longer lasting cool down way later than what would usually happen
New thread so it will be easy to go back and look at them, don't allow comments though just have the images in there. Thoughts?5/5 morning
View attachment 83239
should we keep these in the monthly thread or start a new thread where these can all be back to back?
Not a bad idea.New thread so it will be easy to go back and look at them, don't allow comments though just have the images in there. Thoughts?
Most mjo phases are cool on the MJJ composites. I guess once we get into the COD maybe we get back into the nina background state but AAM is going way up per the CFSWonder when we’ll start to see a warmer response on models, should be the next couple of days View attachment 83240View attachment 83241View attachment 83242
Yeah best hope is for phase 6-7 now, and I noticed a few days ago the CFS was showing a +AAM while the EPS was showing a -AAM later in the monthMost mjo phases are cool on the MJJ composites. I guess once we get into the COD maybe we get back into the nina background state but AAM is going way up per the CFSView attachment 83244
Yeah I'm not sure about AAM forecasts. I know there are bias corrected versions and some models have really big biases leaves me kind of scratching my headYeah best hope is for phase 6-7 now, and I noticed a few days ago the CFS was showing a +AAM while the EPS was showing a -AAM later in the month
Idk, but given the MJO headed towards the IO, were probably gonna see severe wx somewhere soonYeah I'm not sure about AAM forecasts. I know there are bias corrected versions and some models have really big biases leaves me kind of scratching my head
Feel like we’re gonna see a wedge boundary setup soon, where the wedge sets up is unknownView attachment 83248
This has some solid severe potential
There should be one floating around early next week. Maybe more of a warm frontFeel like we’re gonna see a wedge boundary setup soon, where the wedge sets up is unknown