Looks like DFW's average highs for JJA and September increased roughly 1*F for each month with the 1991 - 2020 normals.
It seems April and May's average went down 2-3*F though.
It seems April and May's average went down 2-3*F though.
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May 2021 Discussion Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Friday could be an interesting day. From RAH:
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 400 AM Thursday...
The weak surface low over the eastern Carolinas will move offshore
during the afternoon as one last potent shortwave swings through the
base of the mid/upper level trough centered over the southern mid-
Atlantic states.
Ongoing rain showers Friday morning should become more widespread
and more convective in nature with scattered thunderstorms possible
by late morning and into the afternoon as weak instability (500-750
J/kg MLCAPE) develops in response to increasing insolation beneath
the cold -H5 temps of 23 to -25C and steep mid-level lapse rates of
7-8 C/km. Given low freezing level heights of 5-7 kft, any decent
updraft could prove to be a proficient small hail/graupel producer.
Convection is expected to shift east through the afternoon, and
should exit the coastal/eastern counties by sunset.
Cooler on Friday, due to the clouds and rain. Breezy with highs
ranging from mid 60s north to lower 70s south. Clearing and renewed
CAA will result in chilly temps Friday night. Lows in the mid to
upper 40s(7 to 10 degrees below normal).
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 400 AM Thursday...
The weak surface low over the eastern Carolinas will move offshore
during the afternoon as one last potent shortwave swings through the
base of the mid/upper level trough centered over the southern mid-
Atlantic states.
Ongoing rain showers Friday morning should become more widespread
and more convective in nature with scattered thunderstorms possible
by late morning and into the afternoon as weak instability (500-750
J/kg MLCAPE) develops in response to increasing insolation beneath
the cold -H5 temps of 23 to -25C and steep mid-level lapse rates of
7-8 C/km. Given low freezing level heights of 5-7 kft, any decent
updraft could prove to be a proficient small hail/graupel producer.
Convection is expected to shift east through the afternoon, and
should exit the coastal/eastern counties by sunset.
Cooler on Friday, due to the clouds and rain. Breezy with highs
ranging from mid 60s north to lower 70s south. Clearing and renewed
CAA will result in chilly temps Friday night. Lows in the mid to
upper 40s(7 to 10 degrees below normal).
Starting to see signs of a phase 5-6 MJO in the future 
HRRR for tomorrow afternoon 
Lighting and hail tomorrow too 
Sucks this can’t shift west some more all these setups have seemingly been in NE/ENC
GSP AND CLT are out on this one ?
Given the shallow cape tho probably gonna be lots of small hail in cells vs large hail
LickWx
Member
Uh the GFS has 40s next week lmao, our coldest May high ever is 49 for perspective if I recall correctly. Dubious to say the least and pushing 35 degrees below normal.
Yup maybe marbles at best
I think the models during the first half of the upper low last May had 40s for highs
Latest hrrr has the strongest stuff E of Raleigh now and closer to @metwannabe
Is this a dryline? 
That's what they get for bragging. ?
Oh, well. Hopefully we can all get something Monday. Although svr wx looks to be pretty low as of now.
LickWx
Member
Weird, east of raleigh. Im east of raleigh..
Enjoy those thunderstorms man they won’t be tropical how you like them tho
cd2play
Member
Blackberry winter is here. A little cool, but not bad. Heat runs overnight but that’s it. Thinking after next week’s below normal temps, we see things warm up pretty good.
Really cool watch the inverted coastal trough back inland as the upper level support approaches and the sfc low starts to develop 
Yeah I spoke too soon leave it to the final day of approach for models to to say ehhh actually let’s move her a bit NE ... if they develop eat of me and go stationary and pivot East .... I’ll die
At least Sunday is looking very warm 
Icon was a step closer to severe wx next week still would need big trends tho for a legitimate threat
That stuff after next week could really open the door to a persistent and deep western trough if we phase a TPV and pacific wave out west, if they miss tho we probably get a more transient western trough with lower heights to our NE which would suck
NAM 3km at 12z was way more cranked up than precious runs even for RDU .. that will keep the nerves at bay for now
cd2play
Member
Next week looks wet, but more showery as opposed to storms
The what she said
cd2play
Member
Some of the best relationships start slow.
smast16
Member
Snopes reported this as False.Some of the best relationships start slow.
cd2play
Member
Pretend you know this song
Sooo is this the May thread or whammy
End of the euro is some real hope
Maybe 
cd2play
Member
Nam/hrrr Been shifting west
Lets do it! Hopefully we can score both rounds tomorrow but either way both should be interesting. The first round in the morning has a much better chance of being a heavy rain event while the late day stuff is the better hail potential
JHS
Member
Got a couple of light showers close by now. Was not looking for that tonight.