Pattern Caperil 2021

[Myfrotho704_]

Need to use that funding to give folks in Greensboro & Charlotte and S-band radar that's close by

Centered right in Salisbury NC ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

?

 

[accu35]

Powers out

 

[Webberweather53]

Euro just full on caved to the GFS w/ the West Pac typhoon

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Backloaded

 

[SD]

BackloadedView attachment 81733

It's been at 204 hours for what feels like 204 hours

 

[Brent]

Manager please lol

 

[cd2play]

Manager please lol View attachment 81737

AWS

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Was out golfing today and saw a rotating wall cloud off in the distance on the number 1 tee box. Pretty awesome stuff

 

[Nomanslandva]

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 55. Southeast wind 7 to 11 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.


Seems like we are going to bust way high tonight on QPF. Showers seem topical and everything seems to be heavier than what radar is presenting. It had gotten a little dry so we needed some good rain, but hoping things don't get out of hand.

 

[Fountainguy97]

Noticed a weird orange glow outside. Treated to a gorgeous sunset. Ridge of the mountains looked like it was on fire. Wish my view was cleaner.

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

Not bad for a late April high!





I'm sure this will earn me a "thumbs down" from Fro! ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Not bad for a late April high!

View attachment 81744

View attachment 81745

I'm sure this will earn me a "thumbs down" from Fro! ?

40s for highs with rain is depressing lol I’d rather be outside enjoying 70s

 

[SD]

40s for highs with rain is depressing lol I’d rather be outside enjoying 70s

We are probably doomed to a cold rain or 2 later in the month but still 0 30s on the EPS and that is awesome

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Manager please lol View attachment 81737

Don't forget the number to corporate and their badge number. They might not have a job soon.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Manager please lol View attachment 81737

Nasty. Looks like January temperatures.

 

[Mitch West]

sunset I got last night chasing around the Saluda, SC area.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS means of about 70/46 here everyday after next Tuesday, some members show close to 90s towards the end of the run, don’t know that given the final strat warming event

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS really shows the retrogression from a +PNA to -EPO to a -WPO, chance at a SER there or dumping more stuff out in the pacific and kickstarting another western ridge

 

[SD]

EPS really shows the retrogression from a +PNA to -EPO to a -WPO, chance at a SER there or dumping more stuff out in the pacific and kickstarting another western ridge

Really close to putting severe weather into overdrive post D10 possibly before if we can get enough moisture return

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Really close to putting severe weather into overdrive post D10 possibly before if we can get enough moisture return

Yeah the 200mb pattern is last April lol

 

[SD]

Yeah the 200mb pattern is last April lol View attachment 81752

I wouldn't be surprised to get a nor Easter out of this d9-12ish. If it's pushed west it becomes a severe weather issue for us. After that you get a low Amp cyclonic flow aloft with increasing warmth that'll get messy.

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Models have been trending warmer here for both tomorrow and Tuesday.

In fact, the latest RGEM is showing mid 80s for highs on Tuesday. ?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Really close to putting severe weather into overdrive post D10 possibly before if we can get enough moisture return

Another day 10 threat ??

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Another day 10 threat ??

Severe Threats have been verifying lately ? unlike day 10 winter storms

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

I tell you what, whether we like hot or cold, if we can't appreciate the weather today there's something wrong with us. ?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Severe Threats have been verifying lately ? unlike day 10 winter storms

Maybe for some which is similar to the winter threats some get it some dont .. I was simply saying a day 10+ threat just means we have to wait long as poop for a chance at action .. don’t know why ur bringing winter storms up though lol

 

[NorthDFWwx]

I tell you what, whether we like hot or cold, if we can't appreciate the weather today there's something wrong with us. ?

I can always appreciate 85*F and clear skies.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Maybe for some which is similar to the winter threats some get it some dont .. I was simply saying a day 10+ threat just means we have to wait long as poop for a chance at action .. don’t know why ur bringing winter storms up though lol

Just reminding your inner snow weenie that they don’t happen

 

[Webberweather53]

I can always appreciate 85*F and clear skies.

I've had nothing but that lately, not bad, but I know the big heat is right around the corner

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

I've had nothing but that lately, not bad, but I know the big heat is right around the corner

When's the last time you saw rain ?

 

[SD]

Thrilling.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Thrilling.
View attachment 81758

Hour 240 as always euro is the new weenie model around day 10

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Just reminding your inner snow weenie that they don’t happen

As @GaWx would say it doesn’t matter what any of us want to happen everything is already going to play out as it’s determined my inner weenie will rebuild

and it will start with the 12z euro?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

In other news .. some things 2011 did to me was always look at the date April 16th on my phone and think of the nervs I had on that day the way it was being talked about in the news ... for a split second I think we’re about to have a tornado outbreak then I realize that was a decade ago jeez

 

[Webberweather53]

Thrilling.
View attachment 81758

Eventually before the month is out one of these cold shots will go ham for the Lakes and pts east esp with W Pac typhoon activity getting involved.
When the pacific jet pulls back again after that maybe severe comes back again for more traditional areas of the plains

 

[Tarheel1]

I got your Craperil, right here!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Getting close to some problems with this sort of look

 

[Tarheel1]

I got your Craperil, right here! View attachment 81760View attachment 81761View attachment 81762

??

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Thrilling.
View attachment 81758

That's actually an improvement here.

You take what you can get in these dark ages...