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Pattern Muddy March 2021

Classic low testosterone/stay stuck in your room all day doing nothing type of weather View attachment 78145View attachment 78146
That map is so incorrect in many ways , first it has Raleigh at 47 only instead of 36 , second lmao since when is north Georgia/Atlanta ever the coldest in a CAD? Heck CAD barely touches them these days. Add 10 degrees to that area , knock off some in central NC and you got it more accurate to what could happen.
 
That map is so incorrect in many ways , first it has Raleigh at 47 only instead of 36 , second lmao since when is north Georgia/Atlanta ever the coldest in a CAD? Heck CAD barely touches them these days. Add 10 degrees to that area , knock off some in central NC and you got it more accurate to what could happen.
Maybe it's raining in North Georgia.
 
Definitely looks like the last pattern we will be able to score in but a nice period of slow normal temps and a wintry chance for someone I’m willing to bet .. and mix in severe obviously
 
Definitely looks like the last pattern we will be able to score in but a nice period of slow normal temps and a wintry chance for someone I’m willing to bet .. and mix in severe obviously
Probably the NC/VA mountains, if a trough does swing thru they might get a nice Nw flow event
 
Damn that SER is persistent af but more the pacific rex block, probably gonna get colder out in la la land range 6D320760-7395-489C-AA1D-2D57E95237CF.png
 
I’m thinking more for the south and East outside of the mountains I could see one more possibility at a good event for someone in the region
Obviously better to be in the CAD regions
It’s much much Harder to get a deep, cold CAD setup in all layers aloft in March (especially mid/late March) , we need a very anomalous trough to our NE, and even that is pushing it, for example this look in January is easily some ice but not now, the most likely way we score now is a ULL5189ADA8-B2A6-4B29-BD53-A1586301725F.png
 
Gfs trying to give middle Tennessee some winter weather around the 17th 18th time frame once again. It was showing a big snow a few days ago also. It’s So far out and probably won’t happen but who knows.6DA91715-D071-4B90-8AE7-DA438F2E8C48.png
 
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WOW GEFS ?? shows That there is lots of potential on the table for the next cold pattern ... big dogs might start popping up on the operationals soon
 
Hey Fro. You know if you and I get together, we may be able to get this Euro tossed. You don't really like it do you? Yeah, it is pretty warm late, but it is just a big unreliable mess. What say you? You wanna get this tossed?
I love the warmth, but it had so many moving pieces/crazy looks towards the end of the run that looked unrealistic, I say let’s toss, but i wonder what EPS shows because lately it hasn’t been matching the euro
 
Still a SER but nothing like the euro View attachment 78176View attachment 78177
Higher heights this run tho View attachment 78178

My obs fwiw:

1. Overall per the data I see, the 15 day 0Z Euro ens was about a wash vs the 12Z in the SE and much of the country as far as average temp.
2. I see a larger than average variance between the members indicating higher than normal uncertainty.
3. Even with the cold nights to start this week, week #2 is significantly colder than week #1.
4. This run should make us both and many others happy, You still get your warmth late week/weekend, and I still get my cooldown after the weekend.
 
Those are some insane spreads, cold be in the upper 70s or lower 20s, lol View attachment 78182View attachment 78183
This is why I say (and push for slightly cause I’m weenie and mad I got teased with a 1.5 inch thundersnow plaster bomb) that there is real cold possibly coming into the picture and whenever there is cold you gotta look for that system to be around
 
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