Hey whatever it takes at this point.
Gfs trend over the last 3 runs is pretty wild I can't believe it's this close now
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Misc 2021 Spring/Summer Whamby Thread
- Thread starter jackendrickwx
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Gfs trend over the last 3 runs is pretty wild I can't believe it's this close now
LickWx
Member
45/31. Temps are jumping fast ! Let’s get it , let’s burn all the weenies ! Burn! Burn and melt like the wicked witch of the west you weenies !
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
LickWx
Member
Getting some great ads, “ Tender blacks, flirt with ebony girls” . Sweet deal !
@Lickwx here's exactly what I did with GSP. Every county in the RAH CWA, severe thunderstorm warnings. Big number is total, small number is average per year. It would appear the action is not, in fact, south and east of wake. (I still believe there must be some bias towards larger population centers/areas closer to the actual office/radar site)
Can you do tor warnings?
LickWx
Member
County size also plays a role, some of those counties near the bottom are tiny . Some of them also definitely get more storms. Also wakes total is higher than mecklenburg so ahahah
Just like a bad relationship it's going to give us just enough to stay around but in the end be another disappointment
LickWx
Member
Ok. Thanks.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
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smast16
Member
So This either confirms there is a storm hole over me, or that the distance to the radar is playing a key. And it could be both. I'm closer to RNK Radar and will use their Site in Radarscope over RAH.
The 2 surrounding counties in this list that are in RAH are Davidson which averages 3.4 more SVR storms a year more, and Guilford which averages a whopping 5.4 more SVR storms a year more.
I'd be curious to see what RNK has for Rockingham, Stokes, and Yadkin.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
There's a whole slew of toys on the Iowa State website that are fun to look thru, you could get lost for days on this site and you'd be surprised at everything you could do.
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/archive/
You can go here and search for advisories, watches, & warnings by point, state, etc and get them in excel or csv
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/search.php#byugc/NCC085
You can also pair these warnings (like say tornado warnings) w/ archived radar images, local storm reports, etc. from those times (just have to change the event number or year to toggle between warnings & radar images.) Here's the first warning issued on the Sanford-Raleigh tornado and KRAX radar at the time of issuance.
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/?wfo=KRAH&phenomena=TO&significance=W&etn=11&year=2011#2011-O-NEW-KRAH-TO-W-0014/USCOMP-N0Q-201104161840
Here's one w/ public information statements from NWS MHX & NWS RAH for the Dec 2000 snowstorm. This will be one of the many resources I'll be using to reconstruct snowstorms in the modern era around here.
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?source=RAH&year=2000&month=12&day=1&drange=yes&year2=2000&month2=12&day2=4&view=grid&order=asc
000
ABUS34 KMHX 041624
PNSMHX
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-042200-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1123 AM EST MON DEC 4 2000
HERE ARE THE HIGHEST RECORDED SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THE AREA AS OF 11
AM TODAY.
BEAUFORT COUNTY...12 INCHES IN CHOCOWINITY...WITH POSSIBLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS TO THE WEST.
CRAVEN COUNTY...6 INCHES TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF NEW BERN.
DUPLIN COUNTY...4 INCHES IN KENANSVILLE...INCREASING AMOUNTS AS YOU
MOVE NORTHWEST.
GREENE COUNTY...8 INCHES IN SNOWHILL.
JONES COUNTY...4 INCHES IN TRENTON.
LENOIR COUNTY...9 INCHES IN KINSTON.
MARTIN COUNTY...9 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF 13 INCHES.
ONSLOW COUNTY.:..2 TO 3 INCHES IN JACKSONVILLE.
PITT COUNTY...11.5 INCHES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTY.
WASHINGTON COUNTY...10.5 INCHES IN PLYMOUTH.
000
ABUS34 KRDU 032341
PNSRDU
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
645 PM EST SUN DEC 03 2000
HERE ARE THE LATEST SNOWFALL TOTALS AS OF 600 PM ACROSS THE COASTAL
PLAIN...
IN CUMBERLAND COUNTY
FALCON...5 INCHES
FAYETTEVILLE...2 TO 3 INCHES
IN EDGECOMBE COUNTY
PINE TOPS...10 TO 11 INCHES AND STILL SNOWING
IN FRANKLIN COUNTY
FRANKLINTON...2.5 INCHES
IN HALIFAX COUNTY
ROANOKE RAPIDS...8 INCHES
SCOTLAND NECK...8 INCHES AND STILL SNOWING
IN JOHNSTON COUNTY
CLAYTON...3.5 INCHES
PRINCETON...4 INCHES
IN NASH COUNTY
ROCKY MOUNT...6 TO 7 INCHES
IN SAMPSON COUNTY
SPIVEY'S CORNER...4 INCHES
IN WAYNE COUNTY
DUDLEY...5.5 INCHES
IN WILSON COUNTY
BLACK CREEK...6.5 INCHES
ELM CITY...7 INCHES
LUCAMA...5.5 INCHES
The automated data plotter has so many good statistics you can pull from it, don't even know where to start...
Here's the estimated areal snow coverage of at least a dusting (0.3") of snow in NC during the winter of 1935-36 for ex:
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=175&year=1935&thres=0.3&state=NC&dpi=100&_fmt=png
Here's another one w/ accumulated YTD precip at RDU (you can also download this data (& above) in excel/csv)
I'm just barely scratching the surface here haha
This is awesome.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Are there people out there who actually prefer cold and snow to this beautiful weather we are having today ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This year, yes I haven't seen any real snow just give it to me once ?
smast16
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
OTD snow maps that will trigger RDU snow weenies:
(1/1/86-12/31/20)
Rockingham-517 (14.4 avg)
Stokes-458 (12.7 avg)
Yadkin-316 (8.8 avg)
LickWx
Member
Disagree, you warm weenies do not understand how much sitting in my room all day alone on a cold rainy day turns me on. It makes my nips tender. Plus there are no mosquitos!
-Probably @NickyBGuarantee ? Maybe? Love you nicky!
Bugs block me from going outside there horrible, it’s impossible, I guess sitting inside all day will do
Probably even the mosquitoes know to stay away from you
It’s 74/69 in the morning in July, to humid to go outside and run I’ll just take the morning off from going outside
LickWx
Member
And that's a bad thing? ! That's awesome!
smast16
Member
NGL, had me in the first half
smast16
Member
OK, so now i'm wondering how much county size is playing into this, (Because size always matters...). I just need to average the yearly amount to against the SQ Mile of each county......
BRB in an hour or two.
smast16
Member
Didn't take that long.
This reads that there On Average per year, there is a 1.8 - 3 % chance of any Sq mi in that county to be under a SVR storm warning at some point in the year.
**Note: I believe i've represented this correctly. If not, feel free to correct me.
If i'm doing this right, then I'm middle of the road in Forsyth, 2.2% chance. The surprising loser was Randolph with only 1.8% change.
This is really cool. I think I'll do this for GSP and maybe RAH this afternoon
LickWx
Member
You are amazing , I bestow the title of “ climo bro” upon you now ‘
Happy to see dirt on the ground instead of mud ?
Wow! Advisories will be Eliminated by 2024!
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I'm ok with the elimination of special weather statements. When you have an office like FFC that issues SWS for flurries then its a silly. Also it says no earlier than 2024 which means it could be 2030 for all we know
Of course! We're lucky to get snow more than once or twice a year but we probably get at least 30 days annually with weather like this (probably more than that!)
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Give me days like this all year long and I will be happy.
Fair, this is at least better than 92/75.
Give me 94/76 with 5000 cape everyday and minor mid level shear
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Give me highs between 70 and 80, lows between 50 and 60 with low humidity and sunshine and I'm happy.
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