Once again I’d favor the GFS/v16/NAM, typically more amped/NW systems are favored850's look great for all NC into northern SC on 12z Ukmet,Euro,Canadian suite: These 3 are just dry with qpf: Unlike the Nam and Both GFS. Has to do with handeling at H5. On to the 12z.
That’s looking good for the upstatelol we’re NW trending to fast View attachment 70990View attachment 70991
Maybe this is just the euro adjusting to the GFS. And we're very close with this event, you would think this solution would be favored to a point.NW trend to early. VA storm by later View attachment 71015
Yeah but even the v16 which was looking good trended NW, we’ll see but I’m not a fan of this storm, we’re having to thread the needle with a stronger WAR/digging system but at the same time it can screw usMaybe this is just the euro adjusting to the GFS. And we're very close with this event, you would think this solution would be favored to a point.
As we always say, the next model runs will be big (for trends). I also agree (not a fan), this event will definitely be a thread the needle situation. Years back there was a storm that dropped 5" on the Triad when rain was just forecasted. I remember reading that everything lined up just perfect (for the marginal situation) to give them the snow.Yeah but even the v16 which was looking good trended NW, we’ll see but I’m not a fan of this storm, we’re having to thread the needle with a stronger WAR/digging system but at the same time it can screw us
Yeah unfortunately this isn't a system with a mega block in place and you get that rare south trend, this has NW trend all over it and classic look of one that will be a mountains/N Va storm real quick.... hope I'm wrongYeah but even the v16 which was looking good trended NW, we’ll see but I’m not a fan of this storm, we’re having to thread the needle with a stronger WAR/digging system but at the same time it can screw us
Yeah we are fighting the typical marginal system battle here. We've done well when these waves stay weaker and flat I might try to dig up some examples laterYeah unfortunately this isn't a system with a mega block in place and you get that rare south trend, this has NW trend all over it and classic look of one that will be a mountains/N Va storm real quick.... hope I'm wrong
yes pleaseready to get NAMed Virginia ?