NBAcentel
Member
lfg 
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
LickWx
Member
Let’s trend it to 70, only way I’ll feel comfortable I even break 60.
NBAcentel
Member
If we can break that wedge in the morning rather then the evening/sunset then we have a legit shot at 70
LickWx
Member
Ooofff wedge ? Nvm then screw the Gfs , you on the other hand have a great shot at 70 not just 60. Me on the other hand I’ll be luck to break 55 10 minutes before sunset as the wedge finally breaks .
MRX going with a mix at onset tomorrow night. Would be an isothermal profile up to around 700 if we can get enough precip to saturate the column. Ultimately going to rain but good to at least see a chance for a brief period of action
NBAcentel
Member
PA punisher 
cd2play
Member
Winning ☠
NBAcentel
Member
This is probably gonna be a MA/SE NE System, I know it’s far out but their odds are much better 
NBAcentel
Member
Severe weather might be a legitimate concern with this 
NBAcentel
Member
Nailbiter 
Hack
Actually a good few members in the GEFS had the storm for NC and VA even SC in some ... still I think a very viable threat and we will see how the euro looks ??
Agreed. You can't focus on the specifics of something way too far out. At least the pieces are on the table. It's something to watch and clearly a few adjustments away from being a legitimate threat. Could go either way obviously at this stage.Actually a good few members in the GEFS had the storm for NC and VA even SC in some ... still I think a very viable threat and we will see how the euro looks ??
NBAcentel
Member
Wow the gefs is actually pretty decent, wasn’t expecting that 
Looks like it has some potential to me. And with multi-model and ensemble support.
NBAcentel
Member
Just really hope we can get it under the 180 window, it’s like storms love the 180-240 window and they slowly trend worse below, but there’s potential
NBAcentel
Member
That block is a life saver, replace that with lower heights and it’s a disasterSuspense is killing me...either go full torch or give us something to work with.
View attachment 66559
Yeah, same timespan as the 0z euro storm. Will be interesting to see the 12z euro coming up.
EPS has actually been sniffing something around this time frame for 3-4 days, and really has started to focus on it with the 00z run. Like @Myfrotho704_ said, if we can get this inside D7 it could be legit. It'll probably go and come between now and then but synoptically speaking, this is one that could work and probably will be a threat somewhere along the east coast.
Yeah, I still don't get all the panic and cliff diving. We haven't even entered the most favorable climatology for snowfall. Charlotte's snowiest months are Feb and March. That is still a good 40-60 day's to go.
NCSNOW
Member
7-9 out of 30 here. 30 % chance or better worded a 70% chance nada
tennessee storm
Member
Going by long range stuff ... recent runs hasn’t been good . Still not biting myself
NBAcentel
Member
really hope we can score that one interesting looking system, given La Niña February’s typical aren’t very good, even though areas to our north have a better shot, we’re definitely in the game with that system
Compared to the usual 0-30 I'll take those odds.
SnowNiner
Member
Pattern I'm looking for to give us our last chance second half of February.
NBAcentel
Member
Lol nam has nothin with this but the euro 
cd2play
Member
1960
NBAcentel
Member
What a change 
Honestly this doesn’t suprise. You just can’t put too much trust into what the operational models are showing outside of 96 hours right now. The GEFS certainly has support from the EPS runs of late
NBAcentel
Member
Looks like the euro is about to show a ice storm, big CAD, low level cold is filtering in at the same time 
You mean things are trending colder with a -NAO. No way
NBAcentel
Member
Nvm it’s not like yesterday’s 12z, it gets scoured, but it’s the most bullish model for the first system 
NBAcentel
Member
Holy heck lol, keep that there 
I think this storm will be the one that filters in the cold air that we need for the second storm
Yeah I’ll take this for 800 please!
ajr
Member
Not an ideal upcoming trend with the GEFS:
NBAcentel
Member
Now that HP location is money modernweenie
