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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Myfrotho704_ said:
Looks like the euro is about to show a ice storm, big CAD, low level cold is filtering in at the same time View attachment 66573View attachment 66574
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Same time frame Gfs shows us in 60s right ? Yikes ! So split the middle it’s going to be 65 in Charlotte and 44 in Raleigh. 53 SDs house and 58 Fayetteville . 36 in Richmond with mixed precip north of there .
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Very similar to early January View attachment 66596
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Massive difference here is now there's a ridge being forecast over NE Siberia (-WPO) at least a tendency for one on the EPS. That'll evacuate a lot of the cold air out of Siberia and shove it towards northwestern N America instead. A pattern like that is going to make Alaska & the Canadian Rockies absurdly cold.
 
Webberweather53 said:
This pattern really is teetering on a knife's edge between a total dumpster fire & ice box w/ almost no room for in between. If the -NAO doesn't go away, some of that really cold air over NW N America triggered by a -WPO would definitely filter our way.
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This seems to be a setup that could give us one of those storms where we are in the upper 50s or into the 60s one day and then the next be dealing with significant snow or ice. Getting a big day to day drop like that with a winter storm is one of my favorite experiences because it doesn’t happen much. I still remember the day before the February 1994 ice storm hit this area, being outside after school in shorts with sunshine and temperatures in the upper 70s... then the next afternoon driving home after an early dismissal with temperatures in the upper 20s with heavy sleet falling.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Lol I sure do love the 40-50 degree spreads View attachment 66598
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Superimposed onto this extremely fickle planetary pattern we have enhanced local uncertainty from CAD in the Carolinas. At this rate, I’d forecast slightly above average temps and cut my losses because this is probably gonna end up going way or the other but no clue which one
 
Atlanta’s 10 day looks way warmer than ours by a mile ( wouldn’t even realize averages are near identical ) , warmer than Wilmington’s , warmer than Columbia’s , and about as warm as Charleston South Carolina’s . Screw this ! Hope the Gfs wins out but let’s be honest when does it ever .
 
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