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January 11th-12th Southern Slider

39/31 here. Not expecting any miraculous bust to happen here, I'm curious if we'll even make it to our forecast low of 33 before the clouds stream in overhead.

EDIT: It was a couple degrees cooler than forecast today (Forecast was 50, actual was 48). Not as bad of a bust as yesterday where we only hit 38 when the NWS forecast was 44. I think the low was right around where it was expected to be. (28F)
 
So it's worse than even I thought.

As of 6pm, DFW only recorded a T of snow. It didn't even manage to see measurable snow during this afternoon's burst, lol.

It still may have one more shot to measure snowfall though as the vort max with the ULL tracks through
 
SouthATLwx said:
So it's worse than even I thought.

As of 6pm, DFW only recorded a T of snow. It didn't even manage to see measurable snow during this afternoon's burst, lol.

It still may have one more shot to measure snowfall though as the vort max with the ULL tracks through
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I mean I want to laugh but I feel so bad because I saw it and so many people didn't lol

Back to back amazing setups and they miss out
 
You would think by looking at radar I would get a good one but not according to hrrr
 

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Unfortunately for Georgia and even a large portion of Alabama, the temps are just going to be too warm when the bulk of the moisture arrives. HRRR_temp.pngRadar_15_hrrr.pngRadar_18_hrrr.png
 
More pictures from my chase to Waco

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accu35 said:
You may be right but area in west MS are snowing with temps upper 30s
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I get what you’re saying here because it would appear to be a blanket rule to some but there are thermal dynamics in the atmosphere at different levels which have a big impact on precip type you get. You can get snow in the upper 30s with rain at 33 depending on the thermal dynamics above the surface.
 
Not to be debbie downer...but, those in MS and even W AL that will see snow at 32-35 is because all levels above that layer are below freezing. Temps at 925 and 850 are like 2-6c. not going to cut it. Sure we will see some evap cooling, but this just isn't our storm. I think outside of maybe above 1k feet over NGA mtns....any snow flakes (I doubt) or sleet pellets at the onset of the precip...it won't last long. it sucks....
 
deltadog03 said:
Not to be debbie downer...but, those in MS and even W AL that will see snow at 32-35 is because all levels above that layer are below freezing. Temps at 925 and 850 are like 2-6c. not going to cut it. Sure we will see some evap cooling, but this just isn't our storm. I think outside of maybe above 1k feet over NGA mtns....any snow flakes (I doubt) or sleet pellets at the onset of the precip...it won't last long. it sucks....
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It's more about 900 and below for N GA. Here's a sounding from tomorrow when the heaviest arrives. 44 is just too warm.
1610334078976.png
 
As much as I love snow, it wouldn't bother me to see none out of this. I've already chased 4 times already and seen my share. I'm hoping for my friends north of me to score
 
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DDD said:
That's nice, since that picture is for 1PM tomorrow, let me know what the temp is there tomorrow at 1PM.
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Kind of snarky but yeah, this storm was never meant to be in GA at least in the last several days of modeling. I am sitting at 31F currently so hoping to see a few flakes fly before the warming takes over and I also think that's possible.
 
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