Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
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Defund the GFS.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
@KyloG, I updated the composite to add in some of the storms I missed that you plotted in the big dog storm composite, here's the list:
When comparing that to the EPS, the obvious thing that we need to change is to get the 50/50 low to trend much stronger. That has been my #1 fear with this pattern.
'1960-02-13 00z', '1960-02-14 00z', '1962-03-06 00z', '1966-01-29 00z', '1966-01-31 00z', '1969-02-15 00z', '1969-02-16 00z', '1969-02-17 00z', '1980-02-09 00z', '1980-02-10 00z', '1987-01-22 00z', '1987-01-23 00z', '1987-02-16 00z', '1987-02-17 00z', '1993-02-27 00z', '2004-02-25 00z', '2010-12-25 00z', '1983-03-25 00z', '2010-02-12 00z', '2016-01-20 00z', '2018-01-16 00z'
When comparing that to the EPS, the obvious thing that we need to change is to get the 50/50 low to trend much stronger. That has been my #1 fear with this pattern.
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We’re not far off from that with the first system
Not many mountains to block the cold air from reaching Atlanta. Most of the mountains are NE of Atlanta.
Only problem so far this season is getting a strong CAD that can make it to ATL.
B
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Yippie, more rain. My backyard is already a swamp. Just what we need.
GSO came up about 6/10 short. Earlier this week it appeared this wet weather was going to hit a good 12-24 hits earlier. TW
Meh. Looks like the gefs wants to dump stuff in the southern plains lol, I’m not even worried, wonder if EPS follows 
I was cautiously optimistic for the first 10 days of January a couple weeks ago with the long range signals from the models, but now I want to see cross polar flow bitter cold to come down before I get my hopes built back up. The continental air masses we've seen and are on the horizon won't do much IMO
Enough to have an effect though.
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These little southern stream waves look goood on paper, but we’re missing a key ingredient. Cold. If modeling is right and cold air is trapped on the other side of the globe behind that big Canadian ridge then it will take quite some time before things change. I’m still hopeful but man is this tiresome.
this ain’t it ??
this ain’t it ??
Spot on. That blame goes on pacific. All the coldest air is not sliding into Canada ??
The west coast is paying up finally, +PNA in there face 
There’s just no alleyway for cold to get here right now.
Seems like we keep going through the same thing with these models every winter either we have the moisture with no cold air or we have the cold air but no moisture wash rinse repeat... I mean but unfortunately something has got to give because I’m sure things are going to change for the better eventually