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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

There have been a lot of October action. October Sandy gave me a snow shower. Nate also produced a tornado up the road from me in October. 2016 had Matthew in October. Then we all know what happened to the Bahamas in 2015 October.
 
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ryan1234 said:
I think trying to predict what October will bring is a bit premature. We’re still in August. It’s 2020. And we’re dealing with a record setting Hurricane season.


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That's why this is called "2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion"
 
accu35 said:
That's why this is called "2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion"
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Fair enough. But that isn't my point. Trying to figure out October when we're not even in September is kind of counterproductive. It's perfectly fine to have opinions of what October has in store. But to say, "Hurricanes only hit FL in Oct" is false. Climatology speaking, yes the odds of a Hugo, Isabel, etc are rarer. But not impossible. My whole point is it's 2020, so nothing is off the table at this point.
 
ryan1234 said:
Fair enough. But that isn't my point. Trying to figure out October when we're not even in September is kind of counterproductive. It's perfectly fine to have opinions of what October has in store. But to say, "Hurricanes only hit FL in Oct" is false. Climatology speaking, yes the odds of a Hugo, Isabel, etc are rarer. But not impossible. My whole point is it's 2020, so nothing is off the table at this point.
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I see what your saying
 
lexxnchloe said:
Can you go into more detail? Iread the euro model shows nothing yet on there i see a bunch of storms.
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So basically, if you didn't know, these are EPS members, which is data from the Euro model, but with different starting positions, so you get more of a spread of what can happen. The Euro model shows nothing, but there are several member solutions that show a storm 1-2 weeks out. As I mentioned in my post, that chance of there being a storm is going down. The first image was the latest run, showing all of the members combined, while the next two were last night, then yesterday's run.
 
Ollie Williams said:
FWIW, the 00z GFS develops that wave the EPS was bullish on. 971mb hurricane stalling off in the Atlantic.
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Ollie,
That's actually a different wave as the wave forming this on the 0Z GFS doesn't even come off Africa until a week from now. The wave that the EPS and we have been focusing on is coming off right about now.
 
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