Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion
- Thread starter Snowfan
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Can you go into more detail? Iread the euro model shows nothing yet on there i see a bunch of storms.
There have been a lot of October action. October Sandy gave me a snow shower. Nate also produced a tornado up the road from me in October. 2016 had Matthew in October. Then we all know what happened to the Bahamas in 2015 October.
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I think trying to predict what October will bring is a bit premature. We’re still in August. It’s 2020. And we’re dealing with a record setting Hurricane season.
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Fair enough. But that isn't my point. Trying to figure out October when we're not even in September is kind of counterproductive. It's perfectly fine to have opinions of what October has in store. But to say, "Hurricanes only hit FL in Oct" is false. Climatology speaking, yes the odds of a Hugo, Isabel, etc are rarer. But not impossible. My whole point is it's 2020, so nothing is off the table at this point.
Living in Florida right now a lot of people think this is the end. They think we are in the clear, i keep telling them we got 2 months, at least
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The peak isn't even for 2 weeks and there's a second peak in October usually
Some people get Impatient.
Oh trust me I do too but I lurk elsewhere and people were cancelling the season last week...
Just imagine 1992 today... A on August 20th???
Happy Hour GEFS is more active than recent runs for the wave about to come off Africa: Why is Mickey Mouse in the Bay of Campeche?
So basically, if you didn't know, these are EPS members, which is data from the Euro model, but with different starting positions, so you get more of a spread of what can happen. The Euro model shows nothing, but there are several member solutions that show a storm 1-2 weeks out. As I mentioned in my post, that chance of there being a storm is going down. The first image was the latest run, showing all of the members combined, while the next two were last night, then yesterday's run.
Ollie,
That's actually a different wave as the wave forming this on the 0Z GFS doesn't even come off Africa until a week from now. The wave that the EPS and we have been focusing on is coming off right about now.
0Z EPS with again lots of activity from the wave now emerging from Africa: buckle up for hurricane Grandma?
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