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Tropical Hurricane Isaias

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Can someone smarter than me explain the highlighted area, please? Why would that paragraph even be included???
 
I just had a pretty large tree fall on my house! First time ever in my life. Damage to eaves/roof. And this is with no big wind. It came down very close to where I was. Huge boom. Scared the crap out of me. Pic is too large to upload.
Oh man hope you’re ok! Definitely send a report into NWS!
 
I just had a pretty large tree fall on my house! First time ever in my life. Damage to eaves/roof. And this is with no big wind. It came down very close to where I was. Huge boom. Scared the crap out of me. Pic is too large to upload.
You ok man? Take a screen shot of the lic on your phone and then upload the screen shot. That should work.
 
He has to get his core fixed and protected. Again this morning we saw a nice pulse but now that has waned. We should in theory see another pulse up once we get that NE motion. Isaias will then be traveling in parallel to the shear which should help limit its impact.

I think we will see some slow organization today up until landfall. Will probably just start looking good as it makes landfall this evening. We should see a jump up in winds especially around the center as the core breathes some once we see that NE motion.

Of course there is a lot of "I thinks" in there haha

Need the LLC to move more NNE sooner rather than later.....there is a new flare up on the SE side of the MLC if it can get going maybe that will be the spark to refire this thing.
 
Most weirdest upslope I’ve ever seen. Lightning and training storms all morning going to run into mudslide issues soon. I don’t know if areas here can release water downstream with the tropical storm hitting down there?
 
Safe to throw out the rain total forecast I wouldnt be surprised for some areas to see 6-10” once all is said and done. Starting since yesterday. E4602F9B-68C8-4C67-A6DB-597B5810B1C1.jpeg
 
We need this system 200 miles west. Maybe later on in the year we'll get one to come up from the gulf into FLA and up into the mountains. Have not had a system take that track since Frances in 2004.
 
Well I disagree with Webber I think this is the main event for some with ties to the tropical storm. I think as the storm nears, attention will focus East to Raleigh as the atmosphere has been getting worked over since yesterday for areas in the west quad. 92CFE76F-3053-4322-B884-2523E5D0DD86.jpeg
 
A few hot towers going up on the NW side of the MLC.....NHC basically says give it some time they think the improving conditions still make this a cane....
 
Well I disagree with Webber I think this is the main event for some with ties to the tropical storm. I think as the storm nears, attention will focus East to Raleigh as the atmosphere has been getting worked over since yesterday for areas in the west quad. View attachment 45922

LOL. Did a parakeet tell you that?
 
Well I disagree with Webber I think this is the main event for some with ties to the tropical storm. I think as the storm nears, attention will focus East to Raleigh as the atmosphere has been getting worked over since yesterday for areas in the west quad. View attachment 45922

This is not the main event dodo bird.
 
I just had a pretty large tree fall on my house! First time ever in my life. Damage to eaves/roof. And this is with no big wind. It came down very close to where I was. Huge boom. Scared the crap out of me. Pic is too large to upload.
If you edit the picture by cropping a small portion out it should let you upload the photo
 
A few hot towers going up on the NW side of the MLC.....NHC basically says give it some time they think the improving conditions still make this a cane....

yep. Stalled out and looks like it’s aligning some. N motion Is going to begin in the next hour and I expect to see it start to organize from that point onward.
 
You can see this reflected in some of the wind maps with the SE quad of the circulation having the strongest winds.....

From the latest NHC disco..

The decrease in the shear should result in
less tilt to the cyclone, allowing Isaias to strengthen and regain
hurricane status just before making landfall, and most of the
intensity guidance shows a 60-65 kt system at that time. After
landfall, Isaias is forecast to only slowly weaken due to
interaction with an unusually strong winter-type jetstream that will
be possessing winds of 100-120 kt.
 
Been trying to see if I can find any low level drying on that baskside along with that strong llj, so far struggled to find drying in the low levels but the northernly llj is quite strong on its backside so if any low level drying was to occur than it would easily mix down

Yeah reminds me a lot of Hanna (2008) in that regard
 
Solid improvement on the radar loop, might even be stacking back up a bit...models still showing strong hurricane force gust IMBY though those maps are probably overdone at least 10-15%.
 
Oh man hope you’re ok! Definitely send a report into NWS!

I'm ok, thank you. Nobody got hurt, which is, of course, the most important thing. I called the NWS, but I don't know if they're going to include it because the wind was likely not more than 30 mph and it hadn't even rained that much. So, I think the tree came down mainly because it wasn't healthy and thus it didn't take much wind.
 
I'm ok, thank you. Nobody got hurt, which is, of course, the most important thing. I called the NWS, but I don't know if they're going to include it because the wind was likely not more than 30 mph and it hadn't even rained that much. So, I think the tree came down mainly because it wasn't healthy and thus it didn't take much wind.

That's glad to hear and thankful you're ok! That's interesting, I guess they wouldn't consider that wind damage, which makes sense now that you mention the lack of rain
 
It is moderately raining here in Mount Pleasant the wind is nearly non existent atm. Definitely doesn't feel like a tropical storms nearby yet but I know it's coming.
 
We were completely gapped by the first band in Raleigh. I wouldn't be surprised if the Triad sees higher totals than us LOL.
 
Looks like the convection across CLT is slowing down a bit, probably gonna start seeing flash flooding
 
All the counties around me (and mine) are rural. All virtual.
It's a mix here of in person for a week virtual for two. Its so they can reduce class size and keep social distancing. Sorry not trying to go off topic just trying to clarify its not all in person here where me and blue ridge are from (McDowell). And man has it been raining hard here all morning. Im definitely getting some much beneficial rain. Hope you guys to my east at the coast stay safe.
 
Have the new Hwrfs and Hmons come out and shifted the track way east again yet?
 
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