Tropical Hurricane Isaias

[Brent]

Euro makes landfall just north of Miami tomorrow night

 

[Brick Tamland]

Sure isn't a lot of time to figure out where this will go in FL.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

 

[Metwannabe]

Then bombs away....@metwannabe special

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Let's go!!! This should really blow some leaves around, especially the Poplar tree leaves that are everywhere thanks to the recent dry conditions..... btw metwannabe specials aren't just for winter.

 

[SD]

Euro is much slower vs the gfs similar to the Uk

 

[Metwannabe]

Cut that by 75% then divided by 2.

Truth, it's like old NAM snowfall totals

 

[Shaggy]

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Man that's a tough call. If it stays 50 Miles east it stays offshore.

 

[GaWx]

12Z Euro 2nd LF CHS:

 

[Shaggy]

I’m thinking this has to be thanks to the extremely warm waters it’s finally entering .. we’ve seen how this can really blow things up for tropical systems .. I mean The warm waters are what hurricanes get their main source of fuel from

A guy on american posted the shear maps and the shear seems to be getting less.

 

[SD]

998 almost over @metwannabe track isn't much different than the UK but the strength is night and day

 

[GaWx]

12Z Euro rainfall:

 

[Ollie Williams]

12Z Euro rainfall:

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Carolinas:

 

[SD]

Euro trip through NC

 

[Metwannabe]

Euro trip through NC
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How in the world does it strengthen over the Central NC desert? Drops like 10 mb crossing the state, I'm assuming upper energy influence, pressure gradient, etc.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That track introduces a TC tornado threat

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

One thing I’m seeing picked up more and more on each run is the upslope in the Western Carolinas. Going to be some moisture put out over those areas especially if you have some elevation (>1,500 ft)

 

[Jessy89]

One thing I’m seeing picked up more and more on each run is the upslope in the Western Carolinas. Going to be some moisture put out over those areas especially if you have some elevation (>1,500 ft)

Yeah it’s actually impressive to see western N.C. and upstate S.C. with a swath of 1-2 inches of rain from a hurricane barely hitting S.C.


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[Shaggy]

Is it just me or does this NOT look like a sheared out POS storm that was expected as it interacted with the shear today? That CDO expansion to the SW is not too shabby.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Definitely would get tors from that look, chase ?

 

[Metwannabe]

Is it just me or does this NOT look like a sheared out POS storm that was expected as it interacted with the shear today? That CDO expansion to the SW is not too shabby.

Agreed, it's looking pretty good atm. Deep thunderstorm activity right over the center, also seems to have a nice tight wrapped up core.... those are hard to disrupt and even more difficult to predict intensity.