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Tropical Hurricane Isaias

5:00 advisory

70 mph
993 pressure
Moving NNE at 16 mph

Tropical Storm #Isaias Advisory 27: Isaias Getting Better Organized and Expected to Make Landfall Tonight as a Hurricane With Dangerous Winds and Storm Surge. https://t.co/VqHn0u1vgc
 
So I guess no upgrade at 5pm.....really dont understand why there is no plane in this storm with it literally right on the coast....and showing signs of deepening...
 
Two items, Isais is a strong contender for most lightning, at least in the ATL from a TC. Even the bands today over the Carolinas were active, and the show through the Bahamas and east of FL was epic. 2nd KLTX radar sucks, always has and in need of an upgrade or forest management, don’t know what to believe.
 
Simple fact is that even though he looks so much better than he did this morning we just need a plane in there to confirm his organization. He has 6 more hours that's not a lot of time.
 
Down to 997 at that buoy and gusting near 60mph still. I’m guessing the pressure is around 990 or so. Hopefully this buoy will give us a good idea.
 
It’s a hurricane for whatever reason there not calling it one


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Planes on the way so we should have an idea in an hour or 2. Cant see this being stronger than 75- 80mph max

I think it’s at around 75 and probably what it make landfall as


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0.46” womp womp, looks like we are done for now and the icing will come from a right side clip. Tops warm as you gain latitude, but no doubt IR is waining while WV is still looking excellent for those along and west of 95 up the entire eastern seaboard.
 
If only we had planes that could fly into tropical systems to conduct recon...

The good news is recon should be there in roughly an hour! This buoy should give us a great idea though, it is smack dab in the middle of the center now so once we get all the updates from it (delayed 10-30 mins) we will have a good idea. Looks sub 990mb though to me based on trends.
Isaias.png
 
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